AC Milan vs Cagliari: match statistics
AC Milan vs Cagliari: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AC Milan play Cagliari in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 20:45. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cagliari: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Cagliari scores 1.05 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Cagliari 50%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 45%, Cagliari 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.16. AC Milan: 13.2 shots per match, Cagliari: 10.9.
Match halves
AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87. Cagliari: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Cagliari: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
AC Milan are favorites based on season metrics: they sit 4th with 52 scored and 33 conceded, and at home average 1.33 goals and generate xG 1.75 with 5 shots on target per match. Cagliari are 16th with 38 goals and 52 conceded; away they average just 0.89 goals, xG 1.09 and 3.17 shots on target, which materially limits their attacking potential. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals each, but Milan conceded 6 versus Cagliari’s 8; additionally the hosts concede 1.06 goals at home versus 1.61 away for the visitors. Defensive differences and quality of chances are significant: Milan have 39% clean sheets at home versus only 11% for Cagliari on the road, and the share of matches without scoring is 17% for Milan vs 39% for the visitors. Given the higher shot volume (16.11 vs 10.33), superior xG (1.75 vs 1.09) and a home win rate of 50% vs 17%, I expect an AC Milan victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cagliari is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 2 pts / match - Cagliari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.05 goals / match - Cagliari
AC Milan is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.39 goals / match - Cagliari
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Cagliari scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AC Milan
Over / Under — Cagliari
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - AC Milan · 1 pts / match - Cagliari
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Cagliari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.43 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AC Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Cagliari. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 1:2 Cagliari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Cagliari?
AC Milan score 1.39 goals per game on average and Cagliari 1.05. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of AC Milan's matches and 50% of Cagliari's.
What form are AC Milan and Cagliari in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cagliari 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Cagliari?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.