AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos: match statistics
AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Athens play Panathinaikos in Super League (Greece). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
AEK Athens: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Panathinaikos: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Athens scores 1.78 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Panathinaikos scores 1.47 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Athens 38%, Panathinaikos 50%. Over 2.5: AEK Athens 41%, Panathinaikos 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Athens has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.51. AEK Athens: 15.0 shots per match, Panathinaikos: 12.6.
Match halves
AEK Athens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.16. Panathinaikos: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
AEK Athens: 61-75 (15 goals). Panathinaikos: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
AEK Athens has a clear home advantage: they win 86% of home matches, score an average of 2.00 goals per game and concede only 0.36 goals, with 71% of matches keeping a clean sheet. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 7 goals and have a record of 3-1-1 (averaging 2.0 pts per game), whereas Panathinaikos in their last 5 scored only 2 goals and sit at 1-2-2 with around 1.0 pt per game. Quality of chances is corroborated by xG and shooting stats: AEK at home have xG 1.84 and 5.43 shots on target per game, while visitors away have xG 1.41 and 4.36 shots on target, indicating better and more frequent opportunities for the hosts. Defensively and in efficiency the difference is significant — Panathinaikos concedes on average 1.14 goals away and fail to score in 36% of away matches (FTS 36%), whereas AEK fail to score in only 7% of home games and keep 71% clean sheets. Based on this I expect a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Athens | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Athens is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AEK Athens · 0.4 pts / match - Panathinaikos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - AEK Athens · 1.47 goals / match - Panathinaikos
AEK Athens is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - AEK Athens · 1.03 goals / match - Panathinaikos
AEK Athens scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Panathinaikos scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 56% (18 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AEK Athens
Over / Under — Panathinaikos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Panathinaikos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Athens
Panathinaikos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| AEK Athens | Liga | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.57 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AEK Athens 2 - 1 - 0 Panathinaikos. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos?
The Super League match finished AEK Athens 2:1 Panathinaikos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens and Panathinaikos?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AEK Athens won 2, Panathinaikos won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos?
AEK Athens score 1.78 goals per game on average and Panathinaikos 1.47. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AEK Athens's matches and 50% of Panathinaikos's.
What form are AEK Athens and Panathinaikos in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Athens have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Panathinaikos 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos?
The statistical background for AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.