Lebanon - Lebanese Premier LeagueSour StadiumData current as of 16 July 2026

Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ahed play Al Nejmeh in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 16 July 2026 at 16:30. Venue: Sour Stadium.

Current form

Al Ahed: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Nejmeh: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ahed scores 1.67 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Al Nejmeh scores 1.88 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ahed 42%, Al Nejmeh 36%. Over 2.5: Al Ahed 54%, Al Nejmeh 52%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Al Nejmeh has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.39. Al Ahed: 9.8 shots per match, Al Nejmeh: 7.4.

Match halves

Al Ahed: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.92. Al Nejmeh: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). Al Nejmeh: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match1.88
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
1.17Goals conceded / match0.56
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
52%Average possession40%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
4.63Shots on target / match3.08
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.83Shots per match7.44
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
4.63Shots on target3.08
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
16.9%Shot conversion25.3%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
52%Possession40%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
1.39xG for1.46
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
1.04xG against0.72
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

Shooting quality

Al Ahed: Efficient finishingAl Nejmeh: Counter-attacking
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
Accuracy (shots on target)47%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.61

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Nejmeh is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Al Ahed · 2.6 pts / match - Al Nejmeh

Al Ahed
WLWWD
Season result split
58% W8% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-8
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Al Nejmeh
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W28% R12% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-7-3
2.08 pts / match · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 0.73BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Nejmeh is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1.88 goals / match - Al Nejmeh

Al Nejmeh is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Al Ahed · 0.56 goals / match - Al Nejmeh

Al Ahed scoring profile: mixed

Al Ahed scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Al Nejmeh keeps a clean sheet in 56% (14 of 25 matches).

Al Nejmeh scoring profile: strong

Al Nejmeh scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).

40Goals scored (season)47
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
28Goals conceded (season)14
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
2.83Average goals in match2.44
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
13Goals scored (last 5)12
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
9Goals conceded (last 5)0
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal80%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
46%2 goals48%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
29%3 goals32%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
13%4 goals20%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal44%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
29%2 goals12%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
17%3 goals0%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
8%4 goals0%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

34%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time20%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
38%Scored in both halves40%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
80%BTTS - last 50%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Nejmeh is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Al Ahed · 1.8 pts / match - Al Nejmeh

Al Ahed - half-time state
42% leading38% draw21% trailing
Al Nejmeh - half-time state
44% leading48% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.8
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.08
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
67%Clean sheet before half-time72%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
50%No goal before half-time48%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.96
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.24
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
1.54Average goals (2nd half)1.28
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
54%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh
33%No goal after half-time36%
Al AhedAl Nejmeh

Al Ahed - second-half results

50% W21% R29% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Nejmeh - second-half results

52% W40% R8% P
45
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals80%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Al Nejmeh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
3
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Al Nejmeh
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
6
1
16-30
7
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
11
1
61-75
12
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Al Nejmeh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
166%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

Al AhedLigaAl Nejmeh
Average goals in match 2.832.48 2.44
Both teams scored 42%34% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%45% 52%
Clean sheets 42%39% 56%
Goal before half-time 67%58% 60%
Goal after half-time 88%76% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
34%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Al Ahed 0 - 0 - 2 Al Nejmeh. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Al-Nejmeh SC Beirut
1 : 0
Al Ahed
Al Ahed
0 : 4
Al-Nejmeh SC Beirut

FAQ

When do Al Ahed and Al Nejmeh play?

Al Ahed face Al Nejmeh on 16 July 2026 in Lebanese Premier League at Sour Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Al Ahed and Al Nejmeh?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Ahed won 0, Al Nejmeh won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Ahed score 1.67 goals per game on average and Al Nejmeh 1.88. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Al Ahed's matches and 36% of Al Nejmeh's.

What form are Al Ahed and Al Nejmeh in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Nejmeh 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.