International - World CupLumen FieldData current as of 17 July 2026

Belgium vs Egypt: match statistics

Belgium crest
Belgium
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Egypt crest
Egypt

Belgium vs Egypt: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Belgium play Egypt in World Cup (International). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Lumen Field. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Belgium: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Egypt: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Belgium scores 2.33 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Egypt scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Belgium 83%, Egypt 100%. Over 2.5: Belgium 67%, Egypt 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Belgium has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.42. Belgium: 18.7 shots per match, Egypt: 13.4.

Match halves

Belgium: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67. Egypt: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Belgium: 76-90+ (6 goals). Egypt: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

World Cup: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Belgium has superior technical quality, but Egypt possesses concrete strength in quick transitions and can exploit space behind full-backs. The tip on Egypt is bold, as it assumes the game will be more open than the market prices. Our probability distribution: Belgium 52%, draw 25%, Egypt 23%. At odds of 5.50 the model sees EV of about +26.5%, therefore the pick only makes sense as a smaller, high-variance stake. The risk is Belgium’s control in midfield and that Egypt may have long periods without the ball. Status: SMALL BET.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
BelgiumEgypt
15Shots14
BelgiumEgypt
3Shots on target3
BelgiumEgypt
1.62xG1.33
BelgiumEgypt
2Corners7
BelgiumEgypt
64Dangerous attacks33
BelgiumEgypt
15Fouls15
BelgiumEgypt
2Cards2
BelgiumEgypt

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.33Goals scored / match1.6
BelgiumEgypt
1.17Goals conceded / match1.4
BelgiumEgypt
51%Average possession51%
BelgiumEgypt
5.67Shots on target / match3.6
BelgiumEgypt

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.67Shots per match13.4
BelgiumEgypt
5.67Shots on target3.6
BelgiumEgypt
12.5%Shot conversion11.9%
BelgiumEgypt
51%Possession51%
BelgiumEgypt
2.01xG for1.42
BelgiumEgypt
1.36xG against1.63
BelgiumEgypt

Shooting quality

Belgium: AttackingEgypt: Balanced
BelgiumEgypt
Accuracy (shots on target)30%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Belgium is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Belgium · 1.2 pts / match - Egypt

Belgium
DWWWL
Season result split
50% W33% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Egypt
DWDDL
Season result split
20% W60% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
DWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Belgium is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Belgium · 1.6 goals / match - Egypt

Belgium is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Belgium · 1.4 goals / match - Egypt

Belgium scoring profile: very strong

Belgium scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Egypt keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Egypt scoring profile: very strong

Egypt scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Belgium keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

14Goals scored (season)8
BelgiumEgypt
7Goals conceded (season)7
BelgiumEgypt
3.5Average goals in match3
BelgiumEgypt
13Goals scored (last 5)8
BelgiumEgypt
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
BelgiumEgypt

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal100%
BelgiumEgypt
50%2 goals40%
BelgiumEgypt
50%3 goals20%
BelgiumEgypt
33%4 goals0%
BelgiumEgypt

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal100%
BelgiumEgypt
33%2 goals20%
BelgiumEgypt
0%3 goals20%
BelgiumEgypt
0%4 goals0%
BelgiumEgypt

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time20%
BelgiumEgypt
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BelgiumEgypt
33%Scored in both halves20%
BelgiumEgypt

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
BelgiumEgypt
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BelgiumEgypt
80%BTTS - last 5100%
BelgiumEgypt

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
BelgiumEgypt
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
BelgiumEgypt
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BelgiumEgypt

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
BelgiumEgypt
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
BelgiumEgypt
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
BelgiumEgypt

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Egypt is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Belgium · 2 pts / match - Egypt

Belgium - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Egypt - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)2
BelgiumEgypt
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.8
BelgiumEgypt
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
BelgiumEgypt
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.2
BelgiumEgypt
33%Clean sheet before half-time60%
BelgiumEgypt
50%No goal before half-time20%
BelgiumEgypt

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)0.8
BelgiumEgypt
1.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
BelgiumEgypt
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
BelgiumEgypt
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.8
BelgiumEgypt
50%Clean sheet after half-time40%
BelgiumEgypt
33%No goal after half-time60%
BelgiumEgypt

Belgium - second-half results

67% W17% R17% P
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Egypt - second-half results

20% W20% R60% P
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Belgium - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Egypt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Belgium
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Egypt
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
92%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Belgium

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Egypt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).

Teams vs league

BelgiumLigaEgypt
Average goals in match 3.502.91 3.00
Both teams scored 83%55% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%56% 40%
Clean sheets 17%26% 0%
Goal before half-time 83%70% 100%
Goal after half-time 83%81% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Belgium vs Egypt?

The World Cup match finished Belgium 1:1 Egypt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Belgium vs Egypt?

Belgium score 2.33 goals per game on average and Egypt 1.60. The World Cup average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Belgium's matches and 100% of Egypt's.

What form are Belgium and Egypt in?

Over the last 5 games Belgium have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Egypt 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Belgium vs Egypt?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.