Brazil - Serie AEstádio Nilton SantosData current as of 17 July 2026

Botafogo vs Santos: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Botafogo vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Botafogo play Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 00:30. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos.

Current form

Botafogo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Santos: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Botafogo scores 1.82 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Santos scores 1.44 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Botafogo 82%, Santos 72%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 82%, Santos 61%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Botafogo has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.27. Botafogo: 12.3 shots per match, Santos: 11.8.

Match halves

Botafogo: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.06. Santos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Botafogo: 76-90+ (9 goals). Santos: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.50)
(3.45)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.82Goals scored / match1.44
BotafogoSantos
1.82Goals conceded / match1.61
BotafogoSantos
48%Average possession48%
BotafogoSantos
5.06Shots on target / match3.22
BotafogoSantos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.35Shots per match11.78
BotafogoSantos
5.06Shots on target3.22
BotafogoSantos
14.8%Shot conversion12.3%
BotafogoSantos
48%Possession48%
BotafogoSantos
1.4xG for1.27
BotafogoSantos
1.73xG against1.47
BotafogoSantos

Shooting quality

Botafogo: Efficient finishingSantos: Balanced
BotafogoSantos
Accuracy (shots on target)41%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Santos is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.4 pts / match - Santos

Botafogo
LDWDL
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-7
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Santos
DWLLW
Season result split
28% W33% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-7
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Botafogo is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.82 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.44 goals / match - Santos

Santos is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.82 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.61 goals / match - Santos

Botafogo scoring profile: very strong

Botafogo scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).

Santos scoring profile: very strong

Santos scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

31Goals scored (season)26
BotafogoSantos
31Goals conceded (season)29
BotafogoSantos
3.65Average goals in match3.06
BotafogoSantos
7Goals scored (last 5)8
BotafogoSantos
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
BotafogoSantos

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal89%
BotafogoSantos
53%2 goals50%
BotafogoSantos
29%3 goals6%
BotafogoSantos
12%4 goals0%
BotafogoSantos

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal78%
BotafogoSantos
53%2 goals50%
BotafogoSantos
18%3 goals28%
BotafogoSantos
12%4 goals6%
BotafogoSantos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time33%
BotafogoSantos
12%BTTS in both halves17%
BotafogoSantos
29%Scored in both halves39%
BotafogoSantos

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
BotafogoSantos
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
BotafogoSantos
100%BTTS - last 560%
BotafogoSantos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
BotafogoSantos
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
BotafogoSantos
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BotafogoSantos

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
BotafogoSantos
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
BotafogoSantos
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time39%
BotafogoSantos

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Santos is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.56 pts / match - Santos

Botafogo - half-time state
35% leading29% draw35% trailing
Santos - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.56
BotafogoSantos
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.72
BotafogoSantos
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
BotafogoSantos
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.28
BotafogoSantos
35%Clean sheet before half-time56%
BotafogoSantos
53%No goal before half-time33%
BotafogoSantos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)1.17
BotafogoSantos
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
BotafogoSantos
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
BotafogoSantos
2.12Average goals (2nd half)1.78
BotafogoSantos
35%Clean sheet after half-time39%
BotafogoSantos
29%No goal after half-time39%
BotafogoSantos

Botafogo - second-half results

47% W18% R35% P
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Santos - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botafogo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Santos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Botafogo
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
9
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Santos
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
8
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.34
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
126%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
77%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Botafogo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Santos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BotafogoLigaSantos
Average goals in match 3.652.66 3.06
Both teams scored 82%58% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 82%50% 61%
Clean sheets 6%23% 22%
Goal before half-time 76%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 100%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Botafogo 1 - 1 - 0 Santos. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Botafogo FR
2 : 2
Santos FC Sao Paulo
Santos FC Sao Paulo
0 : 1
Botafogo FR

FAQ

When do Botafogo and Santos play?

Botafogo face Santos on 16 July 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Nilton Santos. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Santos?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1, Santos won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Santos?

Botafogo score 1.82 goals per game on average and Santos 1.44. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Botafogo's matches and 72% of Santos's.

What form are Botafogo and Santos in?

Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Santos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Santos?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.