Calvary vs NEC: match statistics
Calvary vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary play NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. NEC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. NEC scores 0.97 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 21%, NEC 38%. Over 2.5: Calvary 17%, NEC 21%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
NEC has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.18. Calvary: 3.6 shots per match, NEC: 8.7.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21. NEC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). NEC: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
NEC holds a clear advantage in the table and in the numbers: they are 5th with 13 wins this season, while Calvary sit 15th with just 3 wins and 12 goals scored versus 28 for NEC. Form also favors the visitors — 3 wins in the last 5 matches and an average of 2.0 points per game in that period, while Calvary have 2 wins and 1.6 points on average. Defensively NEC is more stable: 20 goals conceded this season versus 36 for Calvary and an average of 0.57 goals conceded away compared to 0.69 conceded by Calvary at home. Calvary generate more chances (on average 16 shots and 4 on target at home) and have a higher home xG (1.91 vs 1.39 xG for the visitors), but 62% of their home matches end with them failing to score and the reported shot conversion is 0%, which significantly reduces their real threat on goal. Considering the superior goals stats (28–12), higher away win percentage (NEC 43% vs Calvary 23% at home) and better recent form, I predict a win for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.61 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Calvary · 1.8 pts / match - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NEC is 102% better for: goals scored per match.
0.48 goals / match - Calvary · 0.97 goals / match - NEC
NEC is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Calvary · 0.76 goals / match - NEC
Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 55% (16 of 29 matches).
NEC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Calvary
Over / Under — NEC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Calvary · 1.41 pts / match - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.72 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 NEC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs NEC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 2:0 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs NEC?
Calvary score 0.48 goals per game on average and NEC 0.97. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Calvary's matches and 38% of NEC's.
What form are Calvary and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and NEC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs NEC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calvary vs NEC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.