Uruguay - Primera DivisiónData current as of 16 July 2026

Danubio vs Juventud: match statistics

Danubio crest
Danubio
4 : 1half-time 2:0
Juventud crest
Juventud
155%(2.07)
X30%(3.00)
215%(3.60)

Danubio displays a much stronger home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 0% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts possess a significant advantage in ball possession (62% vs 39%) and a higher shot conversion (19% vs 16%), which translates to better xG metrics (1.57 vs 1.11). Juventud has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. The visitors' recent away form (a draw and a loss) along with a negative goal difference (-1) further diminish their chances. Taking all statistics into account, Danubio has a clear advantage, although H2H history and the unpredictability of football leave some room for a draw.

Danubio vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Danubio play Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 16 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Juventud: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Juventud scores 1.20 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Danubio 55%, Juventud 70%. Over 2.5: Danubio 45%, Juventud 60%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Juventud has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.24. Danubio: 9.3 shots per match, Juventud: 10.3.

Match halves

Danubio: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Juventud: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Danubio: 0-15 (4 goals). Juventud: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

4 H2H matches: 1-2-1. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Danubio displays a much stronger home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 0% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts possess a significant advantage in ball possession (62% vs 39%) and a higher shot conversion (19% vs 16%), which translates to better xG metrics (1.57 vs 1.11). Juventud has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. The visitors' recent away form (a draw and a loss) along with a negative goal difference (-1) further diminish their chances. Taking all statistics into account, Danubio has a clear advantage, although H2H history and the unpredictability of football leave some room for a draw.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
DanubioJuventud
13Shots8
DanubioJuventud
6Shots on target3
DanubioJuventud
1.52xG1.14
DanubioJuventud
1Corners3
DanubioJuventud
38Dangerous attacks57
DanubioJuventud
12Fouls11
DanubioJuventud
5Cards6
DanubioJuventud

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.2
DanubioJuventud
1.35Goals conceded / match1.65
DanubioJuventud
52%Average possession53%
DanubioJuventud
3.8Shots on target / match4.7
DanubioJuventud

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.3Shots per match10.3
DanubioJuventud
3.8Shots on target4.7
DanubioJuventud
10.8%Shot conversion11.7%
DanubioJuventud
52%Possession53%
DanubioJuventud
1.24xG for1.4
DanubioJuventud
1.38xG against1.48
DanubioJuventud

Shooting quality

Danubio: BalancedJuventud: Balanced
DanubioJuventud
Accuracy (shots on target)41%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Juventud is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Danubio · 0.8 pts / match - Juventud

Danubio
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W45% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-9-7
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-6-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Juventud
WLLDL
Season result split
25% W20% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-11
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Juventud is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Danubio · 1.2 goals / match - Juventud

Danubio is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Danubio · 1.65 goals / match - Juventud

Danubio scoring profile: very strong

Danubio scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).

Juventud scoring profile: very strong

Juventud scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

20Goals scored (season)24
DanubioJuventud
27Goals conceded (season)33
DanubioJuventud
2.35Average goals in match2.85
DanubioJuventud
3Goals scored (last 5)7
DanubioJuventud
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
DanubioJuventud

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal80%
DanubioJuventud
25%2 goals35%
DanubioJuventud
5%3 goals5%
DanubioJuventud
5%4 goals0%
DanubioJuventud

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal90%
DanubioJuventud
40%2 goals45%
DanubioJuventud
15%3 goals15%
DanubioJuventud
5%4 goals10%
DanubioJuventud

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time20%
DanubioJuventud
5%BTTS in both halves5%
DanubioJuventud
15%Scored in both halves25%
DanubioJuventud

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
DanubioJuventud
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
DanubioJuventud
60%BTTS - last 580%
DanubioJuventud

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
DanubioJuventud
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
DanubioJuventud
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
DanubioJuventud

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
DanubioJuventud
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
DanubioJuventud
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
DanubioJuventud

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Juventud is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Danubio · 1.6 pts / match - Juventud

Danubio - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing
Juventud - half-time state
45% leading25% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.6
DanubioJuventud
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.75
DanubioJuventud
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
DanubioJuventud
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.3
DanubioJuventud
65%Clean sheet before half-time60%
DanubioJuventud
55%No goal before half-time35%
DanubioJuventud

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per match (2nd half)0.6
DanubioJuventud
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
DanubioJuventud
0.95Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
DanubioJuventud
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.55
DanubioJuventud
35%Clean sheet after half-time40%
DanubioJuventud
65%No goal after half-time60%
DanubioJuventud

Danubio - second-half results

20% W35% R45% P
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Juventud - second-half results

5% W45% R50% P
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Danubio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Juventud - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.40
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+4-8
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Danubio
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Juventud
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
10
5
31-45
3
7
46-60
1
6
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Danubio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Juventud

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

DanubioLigaJuventud
Average goals in match 2.352.42 2.85
Both teams scored 55%53% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%46% 60%
Clean sheets 25%27% 10%
Goal before half-time 65%69% 85%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Danubio 1 - 2 - 1 Juventud. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Danubio Fútbol Club
1 : 1
CA Juventud
Danubio Fútbol Club
2 : 1
CA Juventud
CA Juventud
3 : 1
Danubio Fútbol Club
CA Juventud
2 : 2
Danubio Fútbol Club

FAQ

What was the result of Danubio vs Juventud?

The Primera División match finished Danubio 4:1 Juventud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Juventud?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1, Juventud won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Juventud?

Danubio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.20. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Danubio's matches and 70% of Juventud's.

What form are Danubio and Juventud in?

Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Juventud 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Juventud?

The statistical background for Danubio vs Juventud — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.