Dundee vs Aberdeen: match statistics
Dundee vs Aberdeen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundee play Aberdeen in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Dundee: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Aberdeen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundee scores 1.11 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Aberdeen scores 1.05 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundee 47%, Aberdeen 37%. Over 2.5: Dundee 58%, Aberdeen 34%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Aberdeen has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.14. Dundee: 10.0 shots per match, Aberdeen: 11.3.
Match halves
Dundee: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.55. Aberdeen: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Dundee: 76-90+ (11 goals). Aberdeen: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Dundee has a clear attacking edge at home — they score an average of 1.56 goals per home match versus just 0.56 goals for Aberdeen away, a difference of 1.00 goal per game. The hosts register 3.56 shots on target at home with a 14% conversion rate, while Aberdeen manage only 2.39 shots on target and a 5% conversion rate on the road, indicating higher chance quality and efficiency for Dundee. The effectiveness gap is further illustrated by the “no goal scored” metric: Dundee fail to score in 17% of home matches, whereas Aberdeen are goalless in 61% of away fixtures, despite an away xG of 1.07 (Dundee home xG 1.26). Aberdeen have the better recent form (3 wins in the last 5 and 2.0 pts/match), but away wins come only 22% of the time and their goal difference on the road is -19, while Dundee win 44% of home games and have a home goal difference of +2. Considering the higher efficiency, more shots on target and much lower share of goalless games for the hosts, I tip a Dundee win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dundee is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Dundee · 1.4 pts / match - Aberdeen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Dundee · 1.05 goals / match - Aberdeen
Aberdeen is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Dundee · 1.45 goals / match - Aberdeen
Dundee scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Aberdeen scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dundee
Over / Under — Aberdeen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundee is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Dundee · 1.11 pts / match - Aberdeen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aberdeen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundee
Aberdeen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee | Liga | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dundee 1 - 0 - 2 Aberdeen. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee vs Aberdeen?
The Premiership match finished Dundee 3:2 Aberdeen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Aberdeen?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dundee won 1, Aberdeen won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs Aberdeen?
Dundee score 1.11 goals per game on average and Aberdeen 1.05. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Dundee's matches and 37% of Aberdeen's.
What form are Dundee and Aberdeen in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Aberdeen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs Aberdeen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dundee vs Aberdeen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.