FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Chicago Fire: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 2.40 and concedes 2.47 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.93 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 73%, Chicago Fire 57%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 67%, Chicago Fire 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.54. FC Cincinnati: 13.6 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 14.9.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). Chicago Fire: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast an away win (2): Chicago have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points per game in that period, while FC Cincinnati have only 1 win and 0.8 points per game in their last 5. The away defense looks superior — Chicago have conceded 5 goals all season versus 16 conceded by Cincinnati, and in the last 5 matches the hosts have leaked as many as 19 goals compared to just 4 conceded by Chicago. The hosts’ attack, however, has merits: at home Cincinnati average 13.33 shots per game and 4.33 on target, translating to 2.0 goals scored at home and a 15% conversion rate, whereas Chicago away average 8.33 shots, 3.33 on target and 1.0 goal (xG 1.07). xG confirms a moderate advantage for the hosts in chance creation (home xG 1.37 vs 1.07 for the visitors), but the gap in defensive solidity and current form (Chicago 4 wins in 5) leads me to favor the visitors. Therefore I assess probabilities at approximately 55% for Chicago, 25% for a draw and 20% for FC Cincinnati.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
2.4 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.93 goals / match - Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.47 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.14 goals / match - Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
Chicago Fire scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
Over / Under — Chicago Fire
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.71 pts / match - Chicago Fire
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.87 | 3.30 | ▼ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | • 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Cincinnati 1 - 0 - 0 Chicago Fire. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 3:3 Chicago Fire. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
FC Cincinnati score 2.40 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.93. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 57% of Chicago Fire's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.