FC Cincinnati vs Toronto: match statistics
FC Cincinnati displays significantly better form and home statistics, winning 100% of their home matches this season with an average score of 2:0. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency, keeping a clean sheet in all home games, while Toronto has failed to win any away match and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The visitors' form is alarming – a streak of two consecutive away defeats and only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.23 vs 1.06), and the difference in possession (54% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (18% vs 12%) further confirms FC Cincinnati's dominance. All indicators point to a comfortable victory for the hosts in front of their home crowd.
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati play Toronto in MLS (United States). The match date is 9 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Toronto: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 2.40 and concedes 2.47 goals per match. Toronto scores 1.57 and concedes 2.07. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 73%, Toronto 86%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 67%, Toronto 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.38. FC Cincinnati: 13.6 shots per match, Toronto: 11.9.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40. Toronto: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). Toronto: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
FC Cincinnati displays significantly better form and home statistics, winning 100% of their home matches this season with an average score of 2:0. The hosts boast excellent defensive efficiency, keeping a clean sheet in all home games, while Toronto has failed to win any away match and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The visitors' form is alarming – a streak of two consecutive away defeats and only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.23 vs 1.06), and the difference in possession (54% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (18% vs 12%) further confirms FC Cincinnati's dominance. All indicators point to a comfortable victory for the hosts in front of their home crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 0.2 pts / match - Toronto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
2.4 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.57 goals / match - Toronto
Toronto is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.47 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 2.07 goals / match - Toronto
FC Cincinnati scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
Toronto scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
Over / Under — Toronto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Cincinnati is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 0.64 pts / match - Toronto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
Toronto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.87 | 3.30 | ▲ 3.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 - 0 Toronto. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Toronto?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 0:1 Toronto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Toronto?
FC Cincinnati score 2.40 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.57. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 86% of Toronto's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Toronto in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toronto 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Toronto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.