Brazil - Serie AEstadio Jornalista Mário FilhoData current as of 16 July 2026

Fluminense vs Bragantino: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Fluminense vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fluminense play Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

Current form

Fluminense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bragantino: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fluminense scores 1.56 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Bragantino scores 1.39 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fluminense 72%, Bragantino 44%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 56%, Bragantino 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Bragantino has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.67. Fluminense: 14.7 shots per match, Bragantino: 16.4.

Match halves

Fluminense: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.78. Bragantino: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Fluminense: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.94)
(3.27)
(3.31)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FluminenseBragantino
1.56Goals scored / match1.39
FluminenseBragantino
1.28Goals conceded / match1.06
FluminenseBragantino
59%Average possession51%
FluminenseBragantino
5.72Shots on target / match5.22
FluminenseBragantino

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.72Shots per match16.39
FluminenseBragantino
5.72Shots on target5.22
FluminenseBragantino
10.6%Shot conversion8.5%
FluminenseBragantino
59%Possession51%
FluminenseBragantino
1.67xG for1.72
FluminenseBragantino
1.4xG against1.21
FluminenseBragantino

Shooting quality

Fluminense: DominantBragantino: Attacking
FluminenseBragantino
Accuracy (shots on target)39%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bragantino is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Fluminense · 2.4 pts / match - Bragantino

Fluminense
LDWLD
Season result split
50% W22% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-5
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Bragantino
WLWWW
Season result split
50% W11% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-7
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.39 goals / match - Bragantino

Bragantino is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.06 goals / match - Bragantino

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).

Bragantino scoring profile: very strong

Bragantino scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

28Goals scored (season)25
FluminenseBragantino
23Goals conceded (season)19
FluminenseBragantino
2.83Average goals in match2.44
FluminenseBragantino
5Goals scored (last 5)10
FluminenseBragantino
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
FluminenseBragantino

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
FluminenseBragantino
50%2 goals33%
FluminenseBragantino
17%3 goals22%
FluminenseBragantino
0%4 goals6%
FluminenseBragantino

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
FluminenseBragantino
39%2 goals39%
FluminenseBragantino
6%3 goals0%
FluminenseBragantino
0%4 goals0%
FluminenseBragantino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time22%
FluminenseBragantino
11%BTTS in both halves0%
FluminenseBragantino
33%Scored in both halves33%
FluminenseBragantino

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
FluminenseBragantino
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
FluminenseBragantino
60%BTTS - last 540%
FluminenseBragantino

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
FluminenseBragantino
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
FluminenseBragantino
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
FluminenseBragantino

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
FluminenseBragantino
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time28%
FluminenseBragantino
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
FluminenseBragantino

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.56 pts / match - Bragantino

Fluminense - half-time state
50% leading28% draw22% trailing
Bragantino - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)1.56
FluminenseBragantino
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.78
FluminenseBragantino
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
FluminenseBragantino
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.33
FluminenseBragantino
67%Clean sheet before half-time56%
FluminenseBragantino
39%No goal before half-time39%
FluminenseBragantino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.56
FluminenseBragantino
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
FluminenseBragantino
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
FluminenseBragantino
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.11
FluminenseBragantino
28%Clean sheet after half-time61%
FluminenseBragantino
39%No goal after half-time50%
FluminenseBragantino

Fluminense - second-half results

28% W39% R33% P
32
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bragantino - second-half results

44% W22% R33% P
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.20
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bragantino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
0
16-30
6
2
31-45
6
4
46-60
1
6
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Bragantino
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
5
16-30
9
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+71%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Bragantino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FluminenseLigaBragantino
Average goals in match 2.832.66 2.44
Both teams scored 72%58% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%50% 44%
Clean sheets 17%23% 33%
Goal before half-time 78%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 83%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 1 Bragantino. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Clube Atlético Bragantino
4 : 2
Fluminense FC
Fluminense FC
2 : 1
Clube Atlético Bragantino

FAQ

When do Fluminense and Bragantino play?

Fluminense face Bragantino on 17 July 2026 in Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Bragantino?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Bragantino won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Bragantino?

Fluminense score 1.56 goals per game on average and Bragantino 1.39. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Fluminense's matches and 44% of Bragantino's.

What form are Fluminense and Bragantino in?

Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bragantino 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Bragantino?

The statistical background for Fluminense vs Bragantino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.