Grêmio vs Flamengo: match statistics
Grêmio vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Flamengo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Flamengo scores 1.82 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 56%, Flamengo 47%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 39%, Flamengo 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.24. Grêmio: 11.3 shots per match, Flamengo: 14.8.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Flamengo: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Flamengo: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Grêmio at home displays a solid defense and high-quality chance creation: on average 1.83 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded per match, 50% clean sheets and a home xG of 1.8 with 16.83 shots and 5.67 on target. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 6 goals, conceded none and recorded a 3-2-0 record, translating to 2.2 points per game over that period. Flamengo sit 2nd in the table with 26 goals this season; away they score 1.86 goals on average with an xG of 1.3 and 11.71 shots, but their shot efficiency is higher (conversion 16% vs the hosts’ 11%). The comparison therefore highlights two key advantages: Grêmio creates better chances (xG 1.8 vs 1.3 and 16.83 vs 11.71), while Flamengo compensates with superior finishing and a better season record (8 wins vs the hosts’ 4). Given the hosts’ strong defense (0.83 conceded and 0 goals in the last 5) and their edge in chance creation, I assign a slightly higher probability of victory to Grêmio.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.6 pts / match - Flamengo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.82 goals / match - Flamengo
Flamengo is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Grêmio · 0.94 goals / match - Flamengo
Grêmio scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Flamengo scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — Flamengo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.82 pts / match - Flamengo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Flamengo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 0 - 1 - 1 Flamengo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Flamengo?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 0:1 Flamengo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Flamengo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Flamengo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Flamengo?
Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.82. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Grêmio's matches and 47% of Flamengo's.
What form are Grêmio and Flamengo in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Flamengo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Flamengo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.