Hobro vs Middelfart: match statistics
Hobro vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hobro play Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: DS Arena. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Hobro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Middelfart: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hobro scores 1.25 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Middelfart scores 1.00 and concedes 2.41. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hobro 44%, Middelfart 59%. Over 2.5: Hobro 41%, Middelfart 72%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Hobro has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.22. Hobro: 12.1 shots per match, Middelfart: 9.9.
Match halves
Hobro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59. Middelfart: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Hobro: 31-45+ (10 goals). Middelfart: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Hobro is the favorite: they sit 10th vs 12th for Middelfart, have 10 wins this season compared to just 3 away wins for the visitors, and have scored 37 goals vs 30. Middelfart’s defense is a major issue – the visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals away and have shipped 74 goals overall, while Hobro concedes 1.6 at home and 41 in total; in the last 5 matches Middelfart conceded 12 goals and Hobro 7. In attack Hobro creates more chances: on average 12.8 shots and 4.33 on target per home game vs 10.13 and 2.93 for Middelfart; despite a slightly lower conversion rate (8% vs 9%), Hobro has a higher xG (1.48 vs 1.21), indicating more high-quality chances. Form confirms the home advantage: in the last 5 matches Hobro are 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss and average 1.6 points per game, while Middelfart have 1 win and 4 losses with 0.6 points per game; additionally clean sheets occur in 27% of Hobro’s home games vs 7% of away games for the visitors. Based on these numbers I forecast a Hobro win, estimating the probabilities as: home win 65%, draw 20%, Middelfart win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hobro | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hobro · 0.6 pts / match - Middelfart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hobro is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Hobro · 1 goals / match - Middelfart
Hobro is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Hobro · 2.41 goals / match - Middelfart
Hobro scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 matches).
Middelfart scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hobro
Over / Under — Middelfart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hobro is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Hobro · 0.88 pts / match - Middelfart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hobro
Middelfart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hobro | Liga | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.59 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hobro 2 - 1 - 0 Middelfart. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hobro vs Middelfart?
The 1st Division match finished Hobro 3:2 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hobro and Middelfart?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hobro won 2, Middelfart won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs Middelfart?
Hobro score 1.25 goals per game on average and Middelfart 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hobro's matches and 59% of Middelfart's.
What form are Hobro and Middelfart in?
Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Middelfart 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs Middelfart?
The statistical background for Hobro vs Middelfart — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.