Finland - YkkösliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 16 July 2026

KäPa vs SJK Akatemia: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

KäPa vs SJK Akatemia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KäPa play SJK Akatemia in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena.

Current form

KäPa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. SJK Akatemia: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

KäPa scores 1.15 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. SJK Akatemia scores 0.36 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KäPa 62%, SJK Akatemia 21%. Over 2.5: KäPa 69%, SJK Akatemia 14%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

KäPa has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.18. KäPa: 10.6 shots per match, SJK Akatemia: 9.3.

Match halves

KäPa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46. SJK Akatemia: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

KäPa: 0-15 (3 goals). SJK Akatemia: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 4.75, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.40)
(2.93)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.15Goals scored / match0.36
KäPaSJK Akatemia
1.54Goals conceded / match1.29
KäPaSJK Akatemia
49%Average possession49%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
3.54Shots on target / match2.5
KäPaSJK Akatemia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.62Shots per match9.29
KäPaSJK Akatemia
3.54Shots on target2.5
KäPaSJK Akatemia
10.9%Shot conversion3.8%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
49%Possession49%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
1.34xG for1.18
KäPaSJK Akatemia
1.57xG against1.76
KäPaSJK Akatemia

Shooting quality

KäPa: BalancedSJK Akatemia: Balanced
KäPaSJK Akatemia
Accuracy (shots on target)33%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KäPa is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - KäPa · 0.4 pts / match - SJK Akatemia

KäPa
WLLWL
Season result split
31% W23% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
SJK Akatemia
DLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W29% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-9
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KäPa is 219% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - KäPa · 0.36 goals / match - SJK Akatemia

SJK Akatemia is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.54 goals / match - KäPa · 1.29 goals / match - SJK Akatemia

KäPa scoring profile: very strong

KäPa scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while SJK Akatemia keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).

SJK Akatemia scoring profile: mixed

SJK Akatemia scores in 29% of matches (4 of 14 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

15Goals scored (season)5
KäPaSJK Akatemia
20Goals conceded (season)18
KäPaSJK Akatemia
2.69Average goals in match1.64
KäPaSJK Akatemia
7Goals scored (last 5)1
KäPaSJK Akatemia
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
KäPaSJK Akatemia

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal29%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
38%2 goals7%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
8%3 goals0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0%4 goals0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal86%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
54%2 goals36%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
15%3 goals7%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0%4 goals0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
23%Scored in both halves0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS7%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
80%BTTS - last 520%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KäPa is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.54 pts / match - KäPa · 0.71 pts / match - SJK Akatemia

KäPa - half-time state
38% leading38% draw23% trailing
SJK Akatemia - half-time state
7% leading50% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.54Points per match (1st half)0.71
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.07
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
KäPaSJK Akatemia
1.31Average goals (1st half)0.64
KäPaSJK Akatemia
62%Clean sheet before half-time57%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
46%No goal before half-time93%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

After half-time (2nd half)

0.62Points per match (2nd half)0.64
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
KäPaSJK Akatemia
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
KäPaSJK Akatemia
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1
KäPaSJK Akatemia
31%Clean sheet after half-time36%
KäPaSJK Akatemia
62%No goal after half-time79%
KäPaSJK Akatemia

KäPa - second-half results

8% W38% R54% P
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

SJK Akatemia - second-half results

7% W43% R50% P
10
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 7%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KäPa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
SJK Akatemia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.40
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KäPa
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

SJK Akatemia
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
6
46-60
0
3
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+119%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KäPa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

SJK Akatemia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
33%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

KäPaLigaSJK Akatemia
Average goals in match 2.692.47 1.64
Both teams scored 62%44% 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%44% 14%
Clean sheets 15%31% 14%
Goal before half-time 77%61% 50%
Goal after half-time 77%73% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): KäPa 1 - 1 - 2 SJK Akatemia. Average goals 4.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Käpylän Pallo
2 : 2
Kerho 07 SJK II
Käpylän Pallo
3 : 1
Kerho 07 SJK II
Kerho 07 SJK II
5 : 3
Käpylän Pallo
Käpylän Pallo
0 : 3
Kerho 07 SJK II

FAQ

When do KäPa and SJK Akatemia play?

KäPa face SJK Akatemia on 17 July 2026 in Ykkösliiga at Mustapekka Areena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between KäPa and SJK Akatemia?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches KäPa won 1, SJK Akatemia won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before KäPa vs SJK Akatemia?

KäPa score 1.15 goals per game on average and SJK Akatemia 0.36. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 62% of KäPa's matches and 21% of SJK Akatemia's.

What form are KäPa and SJK Akatemia in?

Over the last 5 games KäPa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and SJK Akatemia 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KäPa vs SJK Akatemia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.