Libertad vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Libertad displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 16:9, as well as an excellent run of three wins in their last five matches. Nacional Asunción, on the other hand, remains unbeaten away this season (50% wins, 50% draws) and has not recorded a single match without scoring on the road. A key factor is Libertad's advantage in possession (61% vs 51%) and higher xG (1.52 vs 1.16), suggesting greater control of the game. However, Nacional's recent results (four consecutive draws) and their reliability in scoring away (FTS% 0%) point towards a difficult-to-predict outcome. Considering the home strength of the hosts and the defensive solidity and unbeaten away record of the visitors, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this encounter.
Libertad vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Libertad play Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 19 March 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Libertad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nacional Asunción: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Libertad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Nacional Asunción scores 1.41 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Libertad 41%, Nacional Asunción 68%. Over 2.5: Libertad 45%, Nacional Asunción 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.34. Libertad: 13.9 shots per match, Nacional Asunción: 12.6.
Match halves
Libertad: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91. Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Libertad: 46-60 (8 goals). Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-0-3. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Libertad displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive goal difference of 16:9, as well as an excellent run of three wins in their last five matches. Nacional Asunción, on the other hand, remains unbeaten away this season (50% wins, 50% draws) and has not recorded a single match without scoring on the road. A key factor is Libertad's advantage in possession (61% vs 51%) and higher xG (1.52 vs 1.16), suggesting greater control of the game. However, Nacional's recent results (four consecutive draws) and their reliability in scoring away (FTS% 0%) point towards a difficult-to-predict outcome. Considering the home strength of the hosts and the defensive solidity and unbeaten away record of the visitors, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional Asunción is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Libertad · 2.6 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Libertad · 1.41 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Nacional Asunción is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Libertad · 1 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Libertad scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Nacional Asunción scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Libertad
Over / Under — Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Libertad · 1.14 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Libertad
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.44 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Libertad 2 - 0 - 3 Nacional Asunción. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Nacional Asunción?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 2:1 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Nacional Asunción won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Nacional Asunción?
Libertad score 1.55 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.41. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Libertad's matches and 68% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Libertad and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Nacional Asunción?
The statistical background for Libertad vs Nacional Asunción — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.