Mariehamn vs VPS: match statistics
Mariehamn vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mariehamn play VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mariehamn: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. VPS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mariehamn scores 0.53 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. VPS scores 1.47 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mariehamn 40%, VPS 53%. Over 2.5: Mariehamn 53%, VPS 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
VPS has higher xG: 1.49 vs 0.96. Mariehamn: 7.5 shots per match, VPS: 11.9.
Match halves
Mariehamn: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.33. VPS: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Mariehamn: 31-45+ (3 goals). VPS: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.
Match description
The hosts have a clear advantage in the quality and volume of chances: they average 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target per home match, while VPS averages 5 shots and 1 on target away. Mariehamn scores 1.5 goals at home on average and has 0% FTS (always score), whereas VPS averages 0 goals away and 100% FTS, which strongly indicates the visitors’ finishing issues on the road. In xG terms the hosts have 1.33 xG at home versus 0.7 xG for VPS away; concurrently Mariehamn’s xG against is 1.66 and VPS’s xG against is 1.45, so the hosts create more chances while also exposing themselves slightly at the back. VPS, however, shows better recent form overall (PPG 2.0 in the last 5 matches vs 1.4 for Mariehamn) and defends effectively away (conceding 0.5 goals on average and 50% clean sheets), so an upset is possible. Considering Mariehamn’s superiority in shot volume, accuracy and xG and VPS’s complete lack of offensive output away, I tip 1; probability split: 60% home win, 25% draw, 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
VPS is 177% better for: goals scored per match.
0.53 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.47 goals / match - VPS
VPS is 201% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Mariehamn · 0.73 goals / match - VPS
Mariehamn scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
VPS scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mariehamn
Over / Under — VPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 215% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.53 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.67 pts / match - VPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mariehamn
VPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | VPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Mariehamn 1 - 1 - 2 VPS. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs VPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 0:1 VPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and VPS?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 1, VPS won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs VPS?
Mariehamn score 0.53 goals per game on average and VPS 1.47. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Mariehamn's matches and 53% of VPS's.
What form are Mariehamn and VPS in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and VPS 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs VPS?
The statistical background for Mariehamn vs VPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.