Napoli vs Roma: match statistics
Napoli is displaying impressive home form, with a 73% win rate at home and only one loss at their own stadium this season. The hosts stand out with higher offensive efficiency in home matches (1.73 goals per game) and better shot conversion (13% vs 9%). Roma struggles away from home, with a 42% loss rate and a relatively low average of goals scored (1.08 per away match), which is further confirmed by an FTS% of 33%. Although both teams have similar ball possession, Napoli's home form advantage and Roma's weaker away performance suggest a home victory. Napoli's home goal difference (+10) significantly surpasses Roma's away goal difference (+5), further supporting the forecast in favor of the hosts.
Napoli vs Roma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napoli play Roma in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 15 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Napoli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Roma: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napoli scores 1.53 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Roma scores 1.55 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napoli 47%, Roma 34%. Over 2.5: Napoli 53%, Roma 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Roma has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.53. Napoli: 13.2 shots per match, Roma: 13.2.
Match halves
Napoli: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.71. Roma: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Napoli: 0-15 (11 goals). Roma: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Napoli is displaying impressive home form, with a 73% win rate at home and only one loss at their own stadium this season. The hosts stand out with higher offensive efficiency in home matches (1.73 goals per game) and better shot conversion (13% vs 9%). Roma struggles away from home, with a 42% loss rate and a relatively low average of goals scored (1.08 per away match), which is further confirmed by an FTS% of 33%. Although both teams have similar ball possession, Napoli's home form advantage and Roma's weaker away performance suggest a home victory. Napoli's home goal difference (+10) significantly surpasses Roma's away goal difference (+5), further supporting the forecast in favor of the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napoli | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Roma is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Napoli · 3 pts / match - Roma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Roma is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Napoli · 0.82 goals / match - Roma
Napoli scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Roma scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Napoli
Over / Under — Roma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Roma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napoli
Roma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Napoli | Liga | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.43 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Napoli 1 - 0 - 0 Roma. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napoli vs Roma?
The Serie A match finished Napoli 2:2 Roma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napoli vs Roma?
Napoli score 1.53 goals per game on average and Roma 1.55. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Napoli's matches and 34% of Roma's.
What form are Napoli and Roma in?
Over the last 5 games Napoli have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Roma 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napoli vs Roma?
The statistical background for Napoli vs Roma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.