Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueStadion IstiqlolData current as of 16 July 2026

Neftchi vs Buxoro: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Neftchi vs Buxoro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftchi play Buxoro in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 16 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Stadion Istiqlol.

Current form

Neftchi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Buxoro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftchi scores 2.27 and concedes 0.27 goals per match. Buxoro scores 1.36 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftchi 18%, Buxoro 55%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 64%, Buxoro 36%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Neftchi has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.38. Neftchi: 16.1 shots per match, Buxoro: 11.6.

Match halves

Neftchi: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.18. Buxoro: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Neftchi: 46-60 (7 goals). Buxoro: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.31)
(4.50)
(9.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.27Goals scored / match1.36
NeftchiBuxoro
0.27Goals conceded / match1
NeftchiBuxoro
57%Average possession45%
NeftchiBuxoro
6.36Shots on target / match4.36
NeftchiBuxoro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.09Shots per match11.55
NeftchiBuxoro
6.36Shots on target4.36
NeftchiBuxoro
14.1%Shot conversion11.8%
NeftchiBuxoro
57%Possession45%
NeftchiBuxoro
1.88xG for1.38
NeftchiBuxoro
0.94xG against1.41
NeftchiBuxoro

Shooting quality

Neftchi: DominantBuxoro: Balanced
NeftchiBuxoro
Accuracy (shots on target)40%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftchi is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.4 pts / match - Buxoro

Neftchi
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
82% W9% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-1
2.55 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Buxoro
DLLWW
Season result split
55% W18% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-3
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftchi is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

2.27 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.36 goals / match - Buxoro

Neftchi is 270% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.27 goals / match - Neftchi · 1 goals / match - Buxoro

Neftchi scoring profile: very strong

Neftchi scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Buxoro scoring profile: mixed

Buxoro scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 73% (8 of 11 matches).

25Goals scored (season)15
NeftchiBuxoro
3Goals conceded (season)11
NeftchiBuxoro
2.55Average goals in match2.36
NeftchiBuxoro
9Goals scored (last 5)6
NeftchiBuxoro
1Goals conceded (last 5)6
NeftchiBuxoro

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal91%
NeftchiBuxoro
73%2 goals36%
NeftchiBuxoro
55%3 goals9%
NeftchiBuxoro
18%4 goals0%
NeftchiBuxoro

How often they concede at least...

27%1 goal64%
NeftchiBuxoro
0%2 goals18%
NeftchiBuxoro
0%3 goals18%
NeftchiBuxoro
0%4 goals0%
NeftchiBuxoro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
NeftchiBuxoro
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NeftchiBuxoro
73%Scored in both halves18%
NeftchiBuxoro

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
NeftchiBuxoro
45%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NeftchiBuxoro
20%BTTS - last 560%
NeftchiBuxoro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
NeftchiBuxoro
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
NeftchiBuxoro
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
NeftchiBuxoro

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
NeftchiBuxoro
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
NeftchiBuxoro
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
NeftchiBuxoro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftchi is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.18 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.45 pts / match - Buxoro

Neftchi - half-time state
64% leading27% draw9% trailing
Buxoro - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.18Points per match (1st half)1.45
NeftchiBuxoro
1.09Goals scored (1st half)0.64
NeftchiBuxoro
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
NeftchiBuxoro
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.27
NeftchiBuxoro
73%Clean sheet before half-time64%
NeftchiBuxoro
18%No goal before half-time45%
NeftchiBuxoro

After half-time (2nd half)

2.45Points per match (2nd half)1.55
NeftchiBuxoro
1.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
NeftchiBuxoro
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
NeftchiBuxoro
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.09
NeftchiBuxoro
100%Clean sheet after half-time64%
NeftchiBuxoro
27%No goal after half-time45%
NeftchiBuxoro

Neftchi - second-half results

73% W27% R0% P
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Buxoro - second-half results

36% W45% R18% P
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Neftchi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Buxoro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftchi
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
0
46-60
4
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Buxoro
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftchi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.94
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
169%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
23%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Buxoro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

NeftchiLigaBuxoro
Average goals in match 2.552.53 2.36
Both teams scored 18%52% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%51% 36%
Clean sheets 73%27% 36%
Goal before half-time 91%67% 73%
Goal after half-time 73%77% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Neftchi 1 - 1 - 0 Buxoro. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Buxoro FK
1 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Buxoro FK

FAQ

When do Neftchi and Buxoro play?

Neftchi face Buxoro on 16 July 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Stadion Istiqlol. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Buxoro?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1, Buxoro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Buxoro?

Neftchi score 2.27 goals per game on average and Buxoro 1.36. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 18% of Neftchi's matches and 55% of Buxoro's.

What form are Neftchi and Buxoro in?

Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Buxoro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Buxoro?

The statistical background for Neftchi vs Buxoro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.