Olympique Marseille vs Rennes: match statistics
Olympique Marseille vs Rennes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille play Rennes in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Stade Vélodrome. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Rennes: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 1.85 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Rennes scores 1.74 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 50%, Rennes 59%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 62%, Rennes 71%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.61. Olympique Marseille: 15.1 shots per match, Rennes: 14.2.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09. Rennes: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (17 goals). Rennes: 16-30 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorite in this matchup appears to be the home side, Olympique Marseille, due to clear dominance in home metrics: on average 2.38 goals scored and xG 1.77 per match with 15.13 shots and 6 on target, versus 1.75 goals, xG 1.33, 11.56 shots and 4.44 on target for Rennes away. Defensively Marseille also performs better at home — conceding 1.19 goals per match (xG against 1.08), while Rennes concedes 1.88 goals away (xG against 1.53), and the home goal difference for the hosts is +19 versus -2 for Rennes on the road. However, Rennes are in excellent recent form: 4 wins in 5 matches, 11 goals scored and 2.4 points per match in their last five, compared to 2 wins, 5 goals and 1.4 points per match for Marseille, which narrows the home advantage. Additionally the hosts are much less likely to be kept scoreless (only 6% of matches without a goal vs 19% for Rennes) and have higher possession (59% vs 52%), which increases their chances of controlling the game and creating chances (conversion rate 16% vs 15%). Considering the home statistical advantage and Rennes’ good form, I expect a victory for the hosts, estimating probabilities at about 55% for Marseille, 25% for a draw and 20% for Rennes.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rennes is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.8 pts / match - Rennes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.74 goals / match - Rennes
Olympique Marseille is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.47 goals / match - Rennes
Olympique Marseille scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Rennes scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Olympique Marseille
Over / Under — Rennes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
Rennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Olympique Marseille 0 - 0 - 1 Rennes. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Rennes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 3:1 Rennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Rennes?
Olympique Marseille score 1.85 goals per game on average and Rennes 1.74. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 59% of Rennes's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Rennes in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Rennes 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Rennes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympique Marseille vs Rennes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.