Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 16 July 2026

Rivers United vs Barau: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rivers United vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rivers United play Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 8 February 2026 at 16:00.

Current form

Rivers United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rivers United scores 1.16 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rivers United 39%, Barau 29%. Over 2.5: Rivers United 34%, Barau 26%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Rivers United has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.30. Rivers United: 7.7 shots per match, Barau: 4.7.

Match halves

Rivers United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76. Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Rivers United: 76-90+ (15 goals). Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rivers UnitedBarau
1.16Goals scored / match0.89
Rivers UnitedBarau
0.82Goals conceded / match0.79
Rivers UnitedBarau
44%Average possession23%
Rivers UnitedBarau
2.71Shots on target / match0.97
Rivers UnitedBarau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.74Shots per match4.74
Rivers UnitedBarau
2.71Shots on target0.97
Rivers UnitedBarau
15%Shot conversion18.9%
Rivers UnitedBarau
44%Possession23%
Rivers UnitedBarau
1.46xG for1.3
Rivers UnitedBarau
1.05xG against1.31
Rivers UnitedBarau

Shooting quality

Rivers United: Counter-attackingBarau: Counter-attacking
Rivers UnitedBarau
Accuracy (shots on target)35%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.27
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.92

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rivers United is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Rivers United · 1.8 pts / match - Barau

Rivers United
WLWWW
Season result split
50% W26% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-10-9
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
16-2-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rivers United is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Rivers United · 0.89 goals / match - Barau

Rivers United scoring profile: strong

Rivers United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Barau scoring profile: more difficult

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

44Goals scored (season)34
Rivers UnitedBarau
31Goals conceded (season)30
Rivers UnitedBarau
1.97Average goals in match1.68
Rivers UnitedBarau
11Goals scored (last 5)9
Rivers UnitedBarau
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Rivers UnitedBarau

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal45%
Rivers UnitedBarau
21%2 goals29%
Rivers UnitedBarau
16%3 goals13%
Rivers UnitedBarau
3%4 goals3%
Rivers UnitedBarau

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal58%
Rivers UnitedBarau
21%2 goals21%
Rivers UnitedBarau
5%3 goals0%
Rivers UnitedBarau
5%4 goals0%
Rivers UnitedBarau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
Rivers UnitedBarau
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Rivers UnitedBarau
13%Scored in both halves21%
Rivers UnitedBarau

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Rivers UnitedBarau
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Rivers UnitedBarau
40%BTTS - last 540%
Rivers UnitedBarau

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Rivers UnitedBarau
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Rivers UnitedBarau
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Rivers UnitedBarau

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
Rivers UnitedBarau
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Rivers UnitedBarau
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Rivers UnitedBarau

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rivers United - half-time state
18% leading58% draw24% trailing
Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.18
Rivers UnitedBarau
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Rivers UnitedBarau
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Rivers UnitedBarau
0.87Average goals (1st half)0.84
Rivers UnitedBarau
63%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Rivers UnitedBarau
66%No goal before half-time68%
Rivers UnitedBarau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Rivers UnitedBarau
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Rivers UnitedBarau
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
Rivers UnitedBarau
1.11Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Rivers UnitedBarau
71%Clean sheet after half-time74%
Rivers UnitedBarau
45%No goal after half-time66%
Rivers UnitedBarau

Rivers United - second-half results

45% W39% R16% P
43
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding278%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rivers United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rivers United
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
3
46-60
7
4
61-75
15
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+174%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rivers United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Rivers UnitedLigaBarau
Average goals in match 1.972.02 1.68
Both teams scored 39%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%34% 26%
Clean sheets 50%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 53%61% 55%
Goal after half-time 68%64% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Rivers United 0 - 0 - 1 Barau. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Barau
4 : 1
Rivers United FC

FAQ

When do Rivers United and Barau play?

Rivers United face Barau on 8 February 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rivers United vs Barau?

Rivers United score 1.16 goals per game on average and Barau 0.89. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Rivers United's matches and 29% of Barau's.

What form are Rivers United and Barau in?

Over the last 5 games Rivers United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Barau 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rivers United vs Barau?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.