Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tepatitlán de Morelos play CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CDS Tampico Madero: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.38 and concedes 0.98. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, CDS Tampico Madero 57%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, CDS Tampico Madero 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.32. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 13.2 shots per match, CDS Tampico Madero: 11.6.
Match halves
Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78. CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). CDS Tampico Madero: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
7 H2H matches: 2-2-3. Average goals 1.43, BTTS 14%.
Match description
Tepatitlán de Morelos holds a clear home advantage in underlying metrics: at home they score 1.53 goals per match with an average xG of 1.74 and concede only 0.68 goals per match, whereas CDS Tampico Madero on the road score 1.00 goal with xG 1.18 and concede 1.05 goals per match. The hosts generate significantly more shots on target – 5.26 per home match versus 3.4 SOT for the visitors away – and their clean sheet rate at home is 47% compared to 25% for the visitors, indicating a stronger home defense. In results terms Tepatitlán win 58% of home games and have a +16 goal differential at their stadium, while Tampico Madero win only 35% of away fixtures and have a -1 away goal differential. Forms are similar over the last five matches (hosts: 2 wins and 3 draws; visitors: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss) and points per game over the last five are 1.8 vs 1.6, so the edge stems more from home metrics than form. Considering the greater volume of chances and lower expected goals conceded (xG against 1.24 for the hosts vs 1.73 for the visitors) I back the home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 76% of matches (32 of 42 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under — CDS Tampico Madero
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CDS Tampico Madero is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.5 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
CDS Tampico Madero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Tepatitlán de Morelos 2 - 2 - 3 CDS Tampico Madero. Average goals 1.43, both teams scored in 14% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 3:1 CDS Tampico Madero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and CDS Tampico Madero?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 2, CDS Tampico Madero won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 1.35 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.38. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 57% of CDS Tampico Madero's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and CDS Tampico Madero in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.