Winterthur vs Luzern: match statistics
Winterthur vs Luzern: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Winterthur play Luzern in Super League (Switzerland). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Luzern: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Winterthur scores 1.16 and concedes 2.63 goals per match. Luzern scores 2.00 and concedes 1.74. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Winterthur 68%, Luzern 74%. Over 2.5: Winterthur 79%, Luzern 82%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Luzern has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.32. Winterthur: 11.8 shots per match, Luzern: 14.8.
Match halves
Winterthur: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Luzern: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Winterthur: 61-75 (10 goals). Luzern: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The favorite is Luzern; the away side sits 7th in the table versus Winterthur’s 12th and has a significantly better goals record — 73 scored vs 44 for the hosts. Away, Luzern averages 1.72 goals scored and concedes 1.56 per match, while Winterthur at home scores 1.28 and concedes 2.22, giving the visitors an advantage in attacking efficiency (+0.44 goals per match) and defensively (-0.66 goals in favor of the away team). xG metrics confirm Luzern’s edge — xG for 1.52 vs 1.41 for the hosts, and xG against 1.7 vs 2.0 for Winterthur, meaning the hosts allow more high-quality chances. Form also favors the visitors: in the last 5 matches Luzern have 3 wins and 2 draws (11 points, 2.2 per match) while Winterthur have only 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (4 points, 0.8 per match); in that span the hosts conceded 13 goals and Luzern 7. Considering the higher conversion rate (12% vs 10%), higher away win rate (44% vs 17%) and Winterthur’s lack of clean sheets at home (0%), I predict a Luzern win; suggested probability split: 60% away win, 25% draw, 15% home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Winterthur | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luzern is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Winterthur · 2.6 pts / match - Luzern
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luzern is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Winterthur · 2 goals / match - Luzern
Luzern is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.63 goals / match - Winterthur · 1.74 goals / match - Luzern
Winterthur scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Luzern scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Winterthur
Over / Under — Luzern
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luzern is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Winterthur · 1.34 pts / match - Luzern
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Winterthur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Luzern - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Winterthur
Luzern
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Winterthur | Liga | Luzern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.79 | 3.29 | ▲ 3.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 67% | ▲ 82% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | • 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Winterthur 2 - 1 - 0 Luzern. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Winterthur vs Luzern?
The Super League match finished Winterthur 0:3 Luzern. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Winterthur and Luzern?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Winterthur won 2, Luzern won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Winterthur vs Luzern?
Winterthur score 1.16 goals per game on average and Luzern 2.00. The Super League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Winterthur's matches and 74% of Luzern's.
What form are Winterthur and Luzern in?
Over the last 5 games Winterthur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Luzern 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Winterthur vs Luzern?
The statistical background for Winterthur vs Luzern — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.