Toluca crest

Toluca

Liga MXSeason 2025/2026Data current as of 16 July 2026
Form (recent matches)
LLWLL

Toluca 2025/2026: season in numbers

Toluca in Liga MX

Toluca plays in Liga MX (Mexico) in the 2025/2026 season.

Form and record

Toluca: 22-11-9, 1.83 pts/match. Last five: LLWLL (0.60 pts/match).

Goals and clean sheets

Toluca scores 1.86 and concedes 1.02 goals per match. Clean sheets: 31%. Failed to score: 26%.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: 55%. Over 2.5: 50%. Over 3.5: 38%. Average goals in this team's matches: 2.88.

Goal patterns

Over 2.5 + BTTS appeared in 43% of matches. This team scored in both halves in 40% of matches. Last five: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Halves and minutes

Toluca scores 0.79 goals in the first half and 1.07 in the second half. Highest scoring minute bucket: 46-60 (19 goals).

xG and playing style

Toluca produces 1.82 xG and allows 1.15 xGA per match. Shots: 17.5 total, 5.8 on target. Possession: 57%.

Key statistical indicators

Toluca has net xG 0.67 per match. Last-five PPG minus season PPG is -1.23 pts/match. This is historical team context, not a prediction of the next result.

Season overview

1.83Points per match
1.86Goals for / match
1.02Goals against / match
50%Over 2.5 goals
55%Both teams scored
31%Clean sheets
26%Matches without scoring

Record

Wins, draws and losses overall and split by home and away matches.

Season result split
52% W26% R21% P
+35
Goal difference
1.83
PPG (season)
0.60
PPG (last 5)

Goals

Team goal production compared with league averages and goal-count distribution.

How often they score at least...

1 goal74%
2 goals55%
3 goals40%
4 goals12%

How often they concede at least...

1 goal69%
2 goals24%
3 goals5%
4 goals5%

Goal lines (Over/Under)

How often this team's matches clear goal thresholds, including halves and league context.

Halves

Goal before half-time69%League average: 72%
Min. 2 goals before half-time33%League average: 39%
Min. 3 goals before half-time14%League average: 17%
Goal after half-time79%League average: 76%
Min. 2 goals after half-time43%League average: 47%
Min. 3 goals after half-time29%League average: 21%

Goal patterns

Goal-event combinations in this team's matches plus detailed averages from the last five.

Combinations (season)

BTTS at half-time21%
BTTS in both halves7%
Scored in both halves40%
Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%

Match halves

First and second half points, goals, clean sheets, half-time state and last-five split.

Half-time state

38% W40% R21% P
leading / drawing / trailing

Second-half results

48% W31% R21% P
65
Half-time points
1.55
PPG (1st half)
+13
Goal difference
73
Second-half points
1.74
PPG (2nd half)

Goals and clean sheets by half

Scored before half-time0.79
Conceded before half-time0.48
Scored after half-time1.07
Conceded after half-time0.55
Clean sheet before half-time62%
Clean sheet after half-time55%
No goal before half-time48%
No goal after half-time38%
Last 5 matches - details
1st half2nd half
PPG (season)0.801.00
Goals for / match0.41.2
Goals against / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
Min. 1 goal100%80%
Min. 2 goals20%60%
Min. 3 goals0%40%
Clean sheets20%40%
Matches without scoring60%40%
Goal difference-20
1st half (Last 5): 20% leading - 20% drawing - 60% trailing - BTTS HT (last 5) 20%
2nd half (Last 5): 20% won - 40% drawing - 40% lost

Goals by minute

Match phases where this team most often scores and concedes.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
13
5
16-30
14
8
31-45
19
7
46-60
10
8
61-75
16
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Advanced stats

Shots, finishing, possession and expected goals (xG).

Attacking profile

Style: Dominant
33%
Shot accuracy
shots on target
0.10
Chance quality
xG per shot
0.32
Finishing
goals per shot on target

xG per shot around 0.08 means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances.

Key statistical indicators

A combined view of xG, efficiency, form and match patterns from completed games.

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.23
Lead holding
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
137%
Defence after half-time
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* All indicators are calculated only from season statistics. They are not NoFluffPicks model predictions.

Recent matches

FAQ

What form is Toluca in?

Toluca's recent form reads LLWLL (most recent first). The side averages 1.83 points per game this season.

How many goals does Toluca score per game?

Toluca score 1.86 goals per game on average and concede 1.02. These are the baseline attacking and defensive numbers for the season.

How often do Toluca's matches see BTTS and Over 2.5?

In Toluca's matches both teams score in 55% and Over 2.5 lands in 50%. The team keeps a clean sheet in 31% of games.

Where can I check Toluca's stats and betting tips?

This page has Toluca's form, home and away record, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. Betting tips and analysis for upcoming matches are in the NoFluffPicks app.