Cyprus - First DivisionData updated noong July 16, 2026

AEK Larnaca vs Paphos: match stats

AEK Larnaca crest
AEK Larnaca
2 : 2half-time 1:1
Paphos crest
Paphos

AEK Larnaca vs Paphos: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

AEK Larnaca vs Paphos sa First Division (Cyprus). Naka-schedule ang match sa 16 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

AEK Larnaca: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Paphos: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.

Goal statistics

AEK Larnaca scores 1.72 at concedes 0.92 goals per match. Paphos scores 1.83 at concedes 1.06. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AEK Larnaca 53%, Paphos 47%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 42%, Paphos 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots at playing style

Paphos ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.50 vs 1.47. AEK Larnaca averages 11.5 shots per match, habang Paphos ay 11.6.

First at second half

AEK Larnaca leads at half-time sa 53% ng matches at scores 0.83 goals after the break. Paphos: 47% at 0.97.

Goals by minute

AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (14 goals). Paphos: 76-90+ (25 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43% at Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Sa 3 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-1-1. Average goals: 3.67, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

AEK Larnaca may malinaw na defensive edge sa home: nagco-concede sila ng 0.82 goals per home match kumpara sa 1.35 conceded ng Paphos away, at home clean sheet rate ng hosts ay 47% vs 29% ng visitors. Sa attack, hosts ang mas proactive — AEK averages 13 shots at 4.76 on target per home game with xG 1.59, habang Paphos may 10.53 shots, 4.59 on target at xG 1.42 away. Ang visitors mas efficient naman sa conversion (16% vs 14%) at may 62 goals scored this season kontra 56 ng AEK; sa last 5 matches Paphos scored 9 goals vs 5 ng AEK. Form and points stats pabor sa hosts: thuis AEK wins 65% of matches at home at only 18% losses, at sa last 5 games nag-aaverage sila ng 1.6 points per match vs 1.4 ng Paphos. Considering better defence (28 goals conceded this season vs 36), higher home xG at shooting advantage, mas malaki probability ko para sa AEK victory.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
AEK LarnacaPaphos
8Shots16
AEK LarnacaPaphos
4Shots on target5
AEK LarnacaPaphos
1.03xG1.78
AEK LarnacaPaphos
2Corners3
AEK LarnacaPaphos
34Dangerous attacks59
AEK LarnacaPaphos
4Fouls21
AEK LarnacaPaphos
1Cards5
AEK LarnacaPaphos

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.72Goals scored / match1.83
AEK LarnacaPaphos
0.92Goals conceded / match1.06
AEK LarnacaPaphos
55%Average possession55%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
4.5Shots on target / match4.75
AEK LarnacaPaphos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.53Shots per match11.56
AEK LarnacaPaphos
4.5Shots on target4.75
AEK LarnacaPaphos
14.9%Shot conversion15.9%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
55%Possession55%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
1.47xG for1.5
AEK LarnacaPaphos
1.2xG against1.27
AEK LarnacaPaphos

Shooting quality

AEK Larnaca: Efficient finishingPaphos: Efficient finishing
AEK LarnacaPaphos
Accuracy (shots on target)39%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AEK Larnaca is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.4 pts / match - Paphos

AEK Larnaca
LWDDW
Season result split
56% W25% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-9-7
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-4-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Paphos
LLWDW
Season result split
50% W22% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-8-10
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-6
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paphos is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.72 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.83 goals / match - Paphos

AEK Larnaca is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.06 goals / match - Paphos

Scoring profile ng AEK Larnaca: malakas

AEK Larnaca scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).

Scoring profile ng Paphos: napakalakas

Paphos scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).

62Goals scored (season)66
AEK LarnacaPaphos
33Goals conceded (season)38
AEK LarnacaPaphos
2.64Average goals in match2.89
AEK LarnacaPaphos
8Goals scored (last 5)7
AEK LarnacaPaphos
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
AEK LarnacaPaphos

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
50%2 goals53%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
19%3 goals22%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
14%4 goals14%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal58%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
17%2 goals39%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
6%3 goals6%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
3%4 goals3%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time22%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
8%BTTS in both halves11%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
42%Scored in both halves39%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
60%BTTS - last 540%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca - half-time state
53% leading28% draw19% trailing
Paphos - half-time state
47% leading36% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per match (1st half)1.78
AEK LarnacaPaphos
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.86
AEK LarnacaPaphos
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
AEK LarnacaPaphos
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.28
AEK LarnacaPaphos
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
36%No goal before half-time33%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per match (2nd half)1.53
AEK LarnacaPaphos
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
AEK LarnacaPaphos
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
AEK LarnacaPaphos
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.61
AEK LarnacaPaphos
56%Clean sheet after half-time56%
AEK LarnacaPaphos
36%No goal after half-time42%
AEK LarnacaPaphos

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

42% W36% R22% P
67
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paphos - second-half results

39% W36% R25% P
64
Half-time points
31
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
55
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AEK Larnaca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paphos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
12
3
16-30
11
7
31-45
8
1
46-60
8
7
61-75
14
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Paphos
ScoredConceded
9
9
0-15
12
5
16-30
10
1
31-45
7
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
25
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Paphos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

AEK LarnacaLigaPaphos
Average goals in match 2.642.64 2.89
Both teams scored 53%43% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%48% 50%
Clean sheets 33%31% 42%
Goal before half-time 81%73% 78%
Goal after half-time 83%79% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 - 1 Paphos. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng AEK Larnaca vs Paphos?

Natapos ang First Division match sa score na AEK Larnaca 2:2 Paphos. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang head-to-head record ng AEK Larnaca at Paphos?

Sa huling 3 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang AEK Larnaca ng 1, ang Paphos ng 1, at 1 ang draws. Average goals: 3.67; BTTS: 100%.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang AEK Larnaca vs Paphos?

AEK Larnaca scores 1.72 goals per match at Paphos 1.83. Ang First Division average ay 2.64 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 48% ng matches. BTTS: AEK Larnaca 53%, Paphos 47%.

Ano ang current form ng AEK Larnaca at Paphos?

Sa last 5 matches, ang AEK Larnaca ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Paphos ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng AEK Larnaca vs Paphos?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.