Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData updated noong July 16, 2026

KCCA vs Mbarara City: match stats

KCCA crest
KCCA
4 : 1half-time 2:0
Mbarara City crest
Mbarara City

KCCA vs Mbarara City: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

KCCA vs Mbarara City sa Uganda Premier League (Uganda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 23 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

KCCA: 3-2-0 sa last five matches at 2.20 points per match. Mbarara City: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

KCCA scores 1.53 at concedes 0.73 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.87 at concedes 1.57. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KCCA 43%, Mbarara City 57%. Over 2.5: KCCA 50%, Mbarara City 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots at playing style

KCCA ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.68 vs 1.31. KCCA averages 11.8 shots per match, habang Mbarara City ay 8.2.

First at second half

KCCA leads at half-time sa 47% ng matches at scores 0.77 goals after the break. Mbarara City: 13% at 0.47.

Goals by minute

KCCA: 76-90+ (12 goals). Mbarara City: 61-75 (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.

Match description

Bet ko on KCCA win, mainly dahil sa clear statistical edge ng home team. KCCA scores on average 1.93 goals at home with avg xG 1.85 and 5.71 shots on target per match, habang Mbarara away naman only manages 0.79 goals, xG 1.21 at 2.62 shots on target; conversion rate 14% vs 8% for the visitors. Defensively KCCA din looks better — avg 0.64 goals conceded per home match at 43% clean sheets, habang Mbarara concedes 1.86 away and has only 14% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches KCCA scored 6 and conceded 3 (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 1.6 points per match), while Mbarara’s last 5 record is 3-0-2 with 6-5 goals (1.8 points per match), nagpapakita ng short-term uptick for the visitors but hindi enough to offset their away weaknesses. Considering season goal difference (KCCA 42-21 vs Mbarara 25-43), possession advantage (58% vs 45%) and better quality metrics (xG and shots on target), I assess probabilities at 75% for the hosts, 15% for draw and 10% for the visitors.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
KCCAMbarara City
12Shots2
KCCAMbarara City
7Shots on target1
KCCAMbarara City
1.95xG0.46
KCCAMbarara City
7Corners4
KCCAMbarara City
96Dangerous attacks34
KCCAMbarara City
12Fouls11
KCCAMbarara City
0Cards0
KCCAMbarara City

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.07Points per matchPPG - points per game.0.87
KCCAMbarara City
1.53Goals scored / match0.87
KCCAMbarara City
0.73Goals conceded / match1.57
KCCAMbarara City
1.68xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.31
KCCAMbarara City
55%Average possession43%
KCCAMbarara City
4.43Shots on target / match2.67
KCCAMbarara City
40%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.20%
KCCAMbarara City
43%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.57%
KCCAMbarara City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.77Shots per match8.23
KCCAMbarara City
4.43Shots on target2.67
KCCAMbarara City
13%Shot conversion10.5%
KCCAMbarara City
55%Possession43%
KCCAMbarara City
1.68xG for1.31
KCCAMbarara City
1.13xG against1.58
KCCAMbarara City

Shooting quality

KCCA: Efficient finishingMbarara City: Balanced
KCCAMbarara City
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KCCA is 22% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - KCCA · 1.8 pts / match - Mbarara City

KCCA
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W17% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-6
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mbarara City
WWLWL
Season result split
20% W27% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-16
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KCCA is 76% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - KCCA · 0.87 goals / match - Mbarara City

KCCA is 115% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.73 goals / match - KCCA · 1.57 goals / match - Mbarara City

Scoring profile ng KCCA: napakalakas

KCCA scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mbarara City: malakas

Mbarara City scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

46Goals scored (season)26
KCCAMbarara City
22Goals conceded (season)47
KCCAMbarara City
2.27Average goals in match2.43
KCCAMbarara City
10Goals scored (last 5)7
KCCAMbarara City
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
KCCAMbarara City
KCCA
40%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.12 of 30 matches
27%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.8 of 30 matches
Mbarara City
20%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.6 of 30 matches
30%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.9 of 30 matches

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal70%
KCCAMbarara City
50%2 goals17%
KCCAMbarara City
20%3 goals0%
KCCAMbarara City
10%4 goals0%
KCCAMbarara City

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
KCCAMbarara City
10%2 goals40%
KCCAMbarara City
3%3 goals20%
KCCAMbarara City
0%4 goals10%
KCCAMbarara City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
KCCA - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 30 matches
57%
Mbarara City - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 30 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time17%
KCCAMbarara City
0%BTTS in both halves3%
KCCAMbarara City
37%Scored in both halves10%
KCCAMbarara City

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
KCCAMbarara City
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KCCAMbarara City
60%BTTS - last 560%
KCCAMbarara City

Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

90%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.93%
KCCAMbarara City
63%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.67%
KCCAMbarara City
50%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.40%
KCCAMbarara City
13%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.23%
KCCAMbarara City
7%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.13%
KCCAMbarara City

Over / Under — KCCA

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 90%Under 10%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 7%Under 93%

Over / Under — Mbarara City

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 40%Under 60%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 23%Under 77%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
KCCAMbarara City
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
KCCAMbarara City
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
KCCAMbarara City

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
KCCAMbarara City
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
KCCAMbarara City
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KCCAMbarara City

Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KCCA is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / match - KCCA · 0.93 pts / match - Mbarara City

KCCA - half-time state
47% leading33% draw20% trailing
Mbarara City - half-time state
13% leading53% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per match (1st half)0.93
KCCAMbarara City
0.77Goals scored (1st half)0.37
KCCAMbarara City
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
KCCAMbarara City
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.07
KCCAMbarara City
70%Clean sheet before half-time53%
KCCAMbarara City
47%No goal before half-time70%
KCCAMbarara City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)0.97
KCCAMbarara City
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
KCCAMbarara City
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
KCCAMbarara City
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.3
KCCAMbarara City
67%Clean sheet after half-time43%
KCCAMbarara City
43%No goal after half-time53%
KCCAMbarara City

KCCA - second-half results

43% W33% R23% P
52
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mbarara City - second-half results

20% W37% R43% P
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KCCA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Mbarara City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KCCA
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
8
2
16-30
10
6
31-45
6
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
12
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
6
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KCCA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

KCCALigaMbarara City
Average goals in match▲ 2.272.09▲ 2.43
Both teams scored▲ 43%38%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%35%▲ 40%
Clean sheets• 40%39%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%59%• 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 73%62%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: KCCA 1 - 0 - 0 Mbarara City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.

Mbarara City FC
1 : 2
Kampala City Capital Authority FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng KCCA vs Mbarara City?

Natapos ang Uganda Premier League match sa score na KCCA 4:1 Mbarara City. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang KCCA vs Mbarara City?

KCCA scores 1.53 goals per match at Mbarara City 0.87. Ang Uganda Premier League average ay 2.09 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 35% ng matches. BTTS: KCCA 43%, Mbarara City 57%.

Ano ang current form ng KCCA at Mbarara City?

Sa last 5 matches, ang KCCA ay 3-2-0 (2.20 points per match), habang ang Mbarara City ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng KCCA vs Mbarara City?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.