Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData updated noong July 17, 2026

UPDF vs Mbarara City: match stats

UPDF crest
UPDF
3 : 1half-time 1:1
Mbarara City crest
Mbarara City

UPDF vs Mbarara City: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

UPDF vs Mbarara City sa Uganda Premier League (Uganda). Naka-schedule ang match sa 9 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

UPDF: 0-1-4 sa last five matches at 0.20 points per match. Mbarara City: 3-0-2 at 1.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

UPDF scores 0.80 at concedes 1.37 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.87 at concedes 1.57. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: UPDF 40%, Mbarara City 57%. Over 2.5: UPDF 40%, Mbarara City 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots at playing style

UPDF ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.53 vs 1.31. UPDF averages 10.8 shots per match, habang Mbarara City ay 8.2.

First at second half

UPDF leads at half-time sa 13% ng matches at scores 0.43 goals after the break. Mbarara City: 13% at 0.47.

Goals by minute

UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). Mbarara City: 61-75 (6 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38% at Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 1.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Tip ko: home win para sa UPDF. Sa bahay mas solid ang defense nila — avg na 1.0 goals conceded per home game kontra 2.0 conceded ng Mbarara away. Home team din ang mas maraming chances at higher xG sa home (1.63 xG at 12.3 shots per match) kumpara sa visitors (1.37 xG at 11.1 shots). Issue lang ng UPDF ay finishing — only 0.6 goals per home game at conversion rate na 5% with 50% ng games goalless; samantalang Mbarara ay 0.82 goals away at 7% conversion, kaya pwede siyang maging low-scoring. Parehong teams walang wins sa last 5 (0 wins), pero UPDF scored 2 at conceded 5 sa period na iyon vs Mbarara 1 scored at 6 conceded — maliit ang edge para sa home. Considering possession 53% vs 45%, better home record ng UPDF (-4) vs very poor Mbarara away record (-13) at advantage sa xG, tinataya ko higher probability ng home victory para sa UPDF.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
UPDFMbarara City
8Shots4
UPDFMbarara City
4Shots on target2
UPDFMbarara City
1.54xG0.77
UPDFMbarara City
3Corners2
UPDFMbarara City
102Dangerous attacks49
UPDFMbarara City
-1Fouls-1
UPDFMbarara City
-1Cards-1
UPDFMbarara City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.8Goals scored / match0.87
UPDFMbarara City
1.37Goals conceded / match1.57
UPDFMbarara City
50%Average possession43%
UPDFMbarara City
3.1Shots on target / match2.67
UPDFMbarara City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.77Shots per match8.23
UPDFMbarara City
3.1Shots on target2.67
UPDFMbarara City
7.4%Shot conversion10.5%
UPDFMbarara City
50%Possession43%
UPDFMbarara City
1.53xG for1.31
UPDFMbarara City
1.32xG against1.58
UPDFMbarara City

Shooting quality

UPDF: BalancedMbarara City: Balanced
UPDFMbarara City
Accuracy (shots on target)29%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mbarara City is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - UPDF · 1.8 pts / match - Mbarara City

UPDF
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W23% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-18
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-5-8
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mbarara City
WWLWL
Season result split
20% W27% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-16
0.87 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mbarara City is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - UPDF · 0.87 goals / match - Mbarara City

UPDF is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - UPDF · 1.57 goals / match - Mbarara City

Scoring profile ng UPDF: malakas

UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mbarara City: malakas

Mbarara City scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).

24Goals scored (season)26
UPDFMbarara City
41Goals conceded (season)47
UPDFMbarara City
2.17Average goals in match2.43
UPDFMbarara City
2Goals scored (last 5)7
UPDFMbarara City
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
UPDFMbarara City

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal70%
UPDFMbarara City
17%2 goals17%
UPDFMbarara City
7%3 goals0%
UPDFMbarara City
3%4 goals0%
UPDFMbarara City

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal80%
UPDFMbarara City
43%2 goals40%
UPDFMbarara City
10%3 goals20%
UPDFMbarara City
7%4 goals10%
UPDFMbarara City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
UPDFMbarara City
10%BTTS in both halves3%
UPDFMbarara City
17%Scored in both halves10%
UPDFMbarara City

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
UPDFMbarara City
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
UPDFMbarara City
40%BTTS - last 560%
UPDFMbarara City

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
UPDFMbarara City
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
UPDFMbarara City
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
UPDFMbarara City

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
UPDFMbarara City
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
UPDFMbarara City
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
UPDFMbarara City

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mbarara City is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.87 pts / match - UPDF · 0.93 pts / match - Mbarara City

UPDF - half-time state
13% leading47% draw40% trailing
Mbarara City - half-time state
13% leading53% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.87Points per match (1st half)0.93
UPDFMbarara City
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.37
UPDFMbarara City
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
UPDFMbarara City
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.07
UPDFMbarara City
50%Clean sheet before half-time53%
UPDFMbarara City
73%No goal before half-time70%
UPDFMbarara City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)0.97
UPDFMbarara City
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
UPDFMbarara City
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
UPDFMbarara City
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.3
UPDFMbarara City
53%Clean sheet after half-time43%
UPDFMbarara City
60%No goal after half-time53%
UPDFMbarara City

UPDF - second-half results

20% W47% R33% P
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mbarara City - second-half results

20% W37% R43% P
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mbarara City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
2
4
16-30
6
12
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
10
46-60
6
6
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

UPDFLigaMbarara City
Average goals in match 2.172.09 2.43
Both teams scored 40%38% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%35% 40%
Clean sheets 27%39% 20%
Goal before half-time 60%59% 60%
Goal after half-time 67%62% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: UPDF 1 - 0 - 0 Mbarara City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

Mbarara City FC
0 : 1
Uganda People's Defence Force FC

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng UPDF vs Mbarara City?

Natapos ang Uganda Premier League match sa score na UPDF 3:1 Mbarara City. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang UPDF vs Mbarara City?

UPDF scores 0.80 goals per match at Mbarara City 0.87. Ang Uganda Premier League average ay 2.09 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 35% ng matches. BTTS: UPDF 40%, Mbarara City 57%.

Ano ang current form ng UPDF at Mbarara City?

Sa last 5 matches, ang UPDF ay 0-1-4 (0.20 points per match), habang ang Mbarara City ay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng UPDF vs Mbarara City?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.