Apollon vs AEK Larnaca: match statistics
Apollon vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Apollon play AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Apollon: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Apollon scores 1.44 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 1.72 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Apollon 47%, AEK Larnaca 53%. Over 2.5: Apollon 47%, AEK Larnaca 42%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Apollon has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.47. Apollon: 12.7 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 11.5.
Match halves
Apollon: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.72. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Apollon: 31-45+ (12 goals). AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I predict a draw, as the metrics point to an evenly matched contest: Apollon at home averages 14.15 shots and 4.77 on target per match, with xG 1.70 and 1.62 goals per match, while AEK away records 10.92 shots and 4.08 on target, with xG 1.43 and 1.69 goals per match. Both teams defend solidly — Apollon concedes 0.85 goals at home on average and has 46% clean sheets, AEK away concedes 0.77 and has 31% clean sheets, indicating a low-scoring game. Forms are similar: Apollon in the last five matches has 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per game, and AEK has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with 2.0 points per game, so the visitors are marginally better in recent results. Apollon dominates possession (57% vs 53%) and total shots (14.15 vs 10.92), but AEK compensates with efficiency (conversion 15% vs 11% and 50 goals this season versus Apollon’s 37) and a lower share of matches without scoring (15% vs 23%), so strengths offset each other. Consequently I tip a draw (36%), with comparable chances for a home win (32%) and an away win (32%), expecting an even, low-scoring match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Apollon | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Apollon is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Apollon · 1.6 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Apollon · 1.72 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Apollon · 0.92 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
Apollon scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
AEK Larnaca scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Apollon keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Apollon
Over / Under — AEK Larnaca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Apollon · 1.86 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Apollon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Apollon
AEK Larnaca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Apollon | Liga | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.64 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 43% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Apollon 1 - 0 - 2 AEK Larnaca. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Apollon vs AEK Larnaca?
The First Division match finished Apollon 1:1 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Apollon and AEK Larnaca?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Apollon won 1, AEK Larnaca won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Apollon vs AEK Larnaca?
Apollon score 1.44 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 1.72. The First Division average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Apollon's matches and 53% of AEK Larnaca's.
What form are Apollon and AEK Larnaca in?
Over the last 5 games Apollon have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Apollon vs AEK Larnaca?
The statistical background for Apollon vs AEK Larnaca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.