Atlético PR vs Grêmio: match statistics
Atlético PR vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético PR play Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grêmio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético PR scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético PR 50%, Grêmio 56%. Over 2.5: Atlético PR 44%, Grêmio 39%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético PR has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.24. Atlético PR: 12.3 shots per match, Grêmio: 11.3.
Match halves
Atlético PR: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Grêmio: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Atlético PR: 76-90+ (8 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Atlético PR has a clear home advantage: on average 2.14 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded at home per match, resulting in a +10 home goal differential. Grêmio struggle offensively away — only 0.57 goals per match and 43% of away fixtures without scoring, while conceding 1.57 on average and carrying a -7 goal differential. The difference in quality of chances is significant: Atlético at home averages 13.43 shots and 6.14 on target per match with a 16% conversion and xG 1.56, whereas Grêmio away average 8.86 shots, 2.57 on target, 6% conversion and xG 0.98. Additionally, the hosts win 86% of home games and keep a clean sheet in 29% of them, while the visitors have 0% away wins and 71% away losses; although Grêmio recorded 3 wins in their last 5 matches and averaged 2 points per match in that span, their poor away metrics indicate a problem. Considering the superiority in finishing (2.14 vs 0.57), the hosts' better xG (1.56 vs 0.98) and lower xG against (0.82 vs 1.48), I assess probabilities at 75% for Atlético, 15% for a draw and 10% for Grêmio.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético PR | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.11 goals / match - Grêmio
Atlético PR is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Atlético PR · 1.28 goals / match - Grêmio
Atlético PR scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Grêmio scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético PR
Over / Under — Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético PR is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Atlético PR · 1.11 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético PR
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético PR | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético PR vs Grêmio?
The Serie A match finished Atlético PR 0:0 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético PR vs Grêmio?
Atlético PR score 1.33 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.11. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atlético PR's matches and 56% of Grêmio's.
What form are Atlético PR and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético PR have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grêmio 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético PR vs Grêmio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.