Cerro Largo vs Danubio: match statistics
Cerro Largo vs Danubio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo play Danubio in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 30 March 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 35%, Danubio 55%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 35%, Danubio 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Cerro Largo: 9.8 shots per match, Danubio: 9.3.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Danubio: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Danubio: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I tip a home win (Cerro Largo). Cerro Largo average 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home with xG 1.25 and 9.67 shots per match, offering better efficiency than the visitors. Danubio average only 0.75 goals away, have higher xG against (1.77) and fewer shots (6.75), indicating limited away attacking power. Both teams have similar PPG and mixed last-5 forms, but the hosts’ offensive and conversion advantage make them favorites. A draw is possible given defensive instability on both sides.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Largo is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.6 pts / match - Danubio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1 goals / match - Danubio
Cerro Largo is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.35 goals / match - Danubio
Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Danubio scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cerro Largo
Over / Under — Danubio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Danubio is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.4 pts / match - Danubio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Danubio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.42 | • 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cerro Largo 1 - 1 - 0 Danubio. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 2:0 Danubio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Danubio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 1, Danubio won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
Cerro Largo score 1.10 goals per game on average and Danubio 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Cerro Largo's matches and 55% of Danubio's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Danubio in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Danubio 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Danubio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Danubio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.