Charlotte vs Toronto: match statistics
Charlotte vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Charlotte play Toronto in MLS (United States). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Charlotte: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Toronto: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Charlotte scores 1.60 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Toronto scores 1.57 and concedes 2.07. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Charlotte 67%, Toronto 86%. Over 2.5: Charlotte 67%, Toronto 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Toronto has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.34. Charlotte: 11.1 shots per match, Toronto: 11.9.
Match halves
Charlotte: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.07. Toronto: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Charlotte: 76-90+ (7 goals). Toronto: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win (’1’) because Charlotte averages 2.00 goals scored and concedes 1.14 at home, while Toronto on the road scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. The hosts create more chances: 12.14 average shots and 5.57 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 16%, versus Toronto’s 9.33 shots, 4.00 on target and 11% conversion. xG also favors Charlotte — average xG For 1.46 against 1.13 for the visitors, and xG Against 1.23 for the home side versus 1.31 for Toronto, indicating the hosts generate slightly better high-quality chances. Both teams are in poor form: Charlotte has 0 wins and 0.2 points per game in the last five matches (4 scored, 10 conceded), while Toronto has 0 wins and 0.4 points per game in that period (8 scored, 13 conceded). Additionally, Charlotte has a positive home goal difference (+6) and a 43% home win rate versus Toronto’s 33% away win rate, so I assign a 55% probability to the home victory, 25% to a draw and 20% to the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Charlotte is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Charlotte · 0.2 pts / match - Toronto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Charlotte · 2.07 goals / match - Toronto
Charlotte scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
Toronto scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Charlotte keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Charlotte
Over / Under — Toronto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Charlotte · 0.64 pts / match - Toronto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Charlotte
Toronto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte | Liga | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.13 | 3.30 | ▲ 3.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlotte vs Toronto?
The MLS match finished Charlotte 3:1 Toronto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte vs Toronto?
Charlotte score 1.60 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.57. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Charlotte's matches and 86% of Toronto's.
What form are Charlotte and Toronto in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Toronto 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte vs Toronto?
The statistical background for Charlotte vs Toronto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.