Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very even contest between both sides, pointing towards a draw. Excelsior displays poor home form with a 50% loss rate, but they achieve 33% wins at home and have a better goal difference in home matches (-3) than Go Ahead Eagles do away (-7). Go Ahead Eagles are characterized by a high draw percentage on the road (42%), which confirms their tendency to share points. Both teams have similar form in their last five matches (PPG 1.0 vs 0.8) and exhibit comparable xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Considering both teams' poor efficiency and their propensity to concede goals, I expect an open match culminating in a share of the points, most likely with a 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline.
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Excelsior play Go Ahead Eagles in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Excelsior: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Go Ahead Eagles: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Excelsior scores 1.26 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Go Ahead Eagles scores 1.59 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Excelsior 65%, Go Ahead Eagles 59%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 62%, Go Ahead Eagles 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Go Ahead Eagles has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.39. Excelsior: 12.4 shots per match, Go Ahead Eagles: 11.6.
Match halves
Excelsior: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. Go Ahead Eagles: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Excelsior: 76-90+ (12 goals). Go Ahead Eagles: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests a very even contest between both sides, pointing towards a draw. Excelsior displays poor home form with a 50% loss rate, but they achieve 33% wins at home and have a better goal difference in home matches (-3) than Go Ahead Eagles do away (-7). Go Ahead Eagles are characterized by a high draw percentage on the road (42%), which confirms their tendency to share points. Both teams have similar form in their last five matches (PPG 1.0 vs 0.8) and exhibit comparable xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Considering both teams' poor efficiency and their propensity to concede goals, I expect an open match culminating in a share of the points, most likely with a 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Excelsior · 0.6 pts / match - Go Ahead Eagles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Go Ahead Eagles is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.59 goals / match - Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.56 goals / match - Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Go Ahead Eagles keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Go Ahead Eagles scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Excelsior
Over / Under — Go Ahead Eagles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Excelsior · 1.09 pts / match - Go Ahead Eagles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Go Ahead Eagles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.91 | 3.17 | • 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 61% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 20% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Excelsior 0 - 0 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 0:1 Go Ahead Eagles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Excelsior score 1.26 goals per game on average and Go Ahead Eagles 1.59. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Excelsior's matches and 59% of Go Ahead Eagles's.
What form are Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Go Ahead Eagles 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.