Fluminense vs Atlético PR: match statistics
Fluminense presents impressive home form with a 100% win record at home (2 wins) and an average of 1.5 goals per match with only 0.5 goals conceded. The hosts occupy a higher position in the table (3rd place) and have a better goal difference (+2) in home games. Atlético PR, despite decent away form (50% win rate), shows worse statistics in their last five overall matches (1.0 PPG vs 1.6 PPG for Fluminense). A key factor is also the hosts' advantage in average xG (1.27 vs 1.3), along with better defensive metrics (xGA 0.93 vs 1.5). Fluminense's form in their last two home matches (ww) and solid shooting efficiency (15% conversion) support a home victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
Fluminense vs Atlético PR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense play Atlético PR in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Fluminense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.56 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Atlético PR scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 72%, Atlético PR 50%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 56%, Atlético PR 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.39. Fluminense: 14.7 shots per match, Atlético PR: 12.3.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.78. Atlético PR: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 76-90+ (7 goals). Atlético PR: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Fluminense presents impressive home form with a 100% win record at home (2 wins) and an average of 1.5 goals per match with only 0.5 goals conceded. The hosts occupy a higher position in the table (3rd place) and have a better goal difference (+2) in home games. Atlético PR, despite decent away form (50% win rate), shows worse statistics in their last five overall matches (1.0 PPG vs 1.6 PPG for Fluminense). A key factor is also the hosts' advantage in average xG (1.27 vs 1.3), along with better defensive metrics (xGA 0.93 vs 1.5). Fluminense's form in their last two home matches (ww) and solid shooting efficiency (15% conversion) support a home victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.33 goals / match - Atlético PR
Atlético PR is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Fluminense · 1 goals / match - Atlético PR
Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Atlético PR scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fluminense
Over / Under — Atlético PR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.17 pts / match - Atlético PR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Atlético PR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Atlético PR?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 3:2 Atlético PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Atlético PR?
Fluminense score 1.56 goals per game on average and Atlético PR 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Fluminense's matches and 50% of Atlético PR's.
What form are Fluminense and Atlético PR in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Atlético PR 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Atlético PR?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fluminense vs Atlético PR: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.