Hobro vs AaB: match statistics
Hobro vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hobro play AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hobro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. AaB: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hobro scores 1.25 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. AaB scores 1.56 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hobro 44%, AaB 56%. Over 2.5: Hobro 41%, AaB 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
AaB has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.41. Hobro: 12.1 shots per match, AaB: 13.1.
Match halves
Hobro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59. AaB: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Hobro: 31-45+ (10 goals). AaB: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because Hobro shows better form over the last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game, while AaB have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in that period (1 point per game). Hobro conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 matches (0.6 per game) versus AaB’s 8 goals conceded (1.6 per game), giving the hosts a defensive edge. Season-to-date numbers, however, favour the visitors in attack: AaB have 38 goals scored compared to Hobro’s 24, away goals per game 1.42 vs home goals per game 1.00, and higher xG 1.49 vs 1.42. The visitors also control more possession (55% vs 47%), average more shots (13 vs 12) and have better shot conversion (11% vs 8%), yet Hobro keep clean sheets at home more often (36% vs 17%) and fail to score at home less frequently (no goal in 27% of home matches vs 33% of AaB away matches). Considering recent form, the hosts’ defensive solidity and the visitors’ moderate attacking edge, I assign Hobro a 48% chance, draw 28% and AaB win 24%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hobro | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hobro · 1 pts / match - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Hobro · 1.56 goals / match - AaB
Hobro is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Hobro · 1.47 goals / match - AaB
Hobro scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
AaB scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hobro
Over / Under — AaB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hobro
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hobro | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.59 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 55% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hobro 1 - 2 - 0 AaB. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hobro vs AaB?
The 1st Division match finished Hobro 0:1 AaB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hobro and AaB?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hobro won 1, AaB won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs AaB?
Hobro score 1.25 goals per game on average and AaB 1.56. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hobro's matches and 56% of AaB's.
What form are Hobro and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AaB 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs AaB?
The statistical background for Hobro vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.