Finland - YkkösliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 16 July 2026

KäPa vs KTP: match statistics

KäPa crest
KäPa
1 : 2half-time 1:1
KTP crest
KTP

KäPa vs KTP: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KäPa play KTP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 5 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

KäPa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. KTP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

KäPa scores 1.15 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. KTP scores 1.79 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KäPa 62%, KTP 43%. Over 2.5: KäPa 69%, KTP 43%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

KTP has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.34. KäPa: 10.6 shots per match, KTP: 15.5.

Match halves

KäPa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.46. KTP: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

KäPa: 0-15 (3 goals). KTP: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

The favorites are the away side, KTP, who sit 1st in the table while KäPa are 7th; KTP have won 4 of their last 5 matches, KäPa only 1 of 5. Although total goals this season are similar (KäPa 10, KTP 9), KTP have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches versus KäPa’s 4 and average 2.4 points in the last five fixtures compared to the hosts’ 1.0. In terms of chance quality the visitors show superior xG – KTP’s average xG is 1.65 on the road versus the home side’s 1.50 xG at home, and xG against is 1.16 (KTP) vs 1.46 (KäPa), indicating KäPa concede higher-quality chances. Defensively KTP also look stronger: they concede on average 1.00 goals away, keep clean sheets in 80% of away matches and are shut out in only 20% of games, whereas KäPa concede 1.25 at home and fail to score in 50% of matches. Considering the advantage in form, higher chance-creation efficiency (xG 1.65) and greater defensive stability, the higher probability is for an away victory.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
KäPaKTP
8Shots23
KäPaKTP
4Shots on target7
KäPaKTP
1.2xG2.4
KäPaKTP
4Corners13
KäPaKTP
57Dangerous attacks66
KäPaKTP
10Fouls15
KäPaKTP
2Cards3
KäPaKTP

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.15Goals scored / match1.79
KäPaKTP
1.54Goals conceded / match1
KäPaKTP
49%Average possession50%
KäPaKTP
3.54Shots on target / match5.29
KäPaKTP

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.62Shots per match15.5
KäPaKTP
3.54Shots on target5.29
KäPaKTP
10.9%Shot conversion11.5%
KäPaKTP
49%Possession50%
KäPaKTP
1.34xG for1.79
KäPaKTP
1.57xG against1.13
KäPaKTP

Shooting quality

KäPa: BalancedKTP: Attacking
KäPaKTP
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KTP is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - KäPa · 2 pts / match - KTP

KäPa
WLLWL
Season result split
31% W23% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
KTP
LWWDW
Season result split
71% W14% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-2
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

KTP is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.15 goals / match - KäPa · 1.79 goals / match - KTP

KTP is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.54 goals / match - KäPa · 1 goals / match - KTP

KäPa scoring profile: mixed

KäPa scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).

KTP scoring profile: very strong

KTP scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

15Goals scored (season)25
KäPaKTP
20Goals conceded (season)14
KäPaKTP
2.69Average goals in match2.79
KäPaKTP
7Goals scored (last 5)14
KäPaKTP
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
KäPaKTP

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal86%
KäPaKTP
38%2 goals50%
KäPaKTP
8%3 goals21%
KäPaKTP
0%4 goals14%
KäPaKTP

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal50%
KäPaKTP
54%2 goals21%
KäPaKTP
15%3 goals14%
KäPaKTP
0%4 goals7%
KäPaKTP

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time29%
KäPaKTP
0%BTTS in both halves14%
KäPaKTP
23%Scored in both halves36%
KäPaKTP

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
KäPaKTP
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KäPaKTP
80%BTTS - last 560%
KäPaKTP

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
KäPaKTP
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
KäPaKTP
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
KäPaKTP

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
KäPaKTP
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
KäPaKTP
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
KäPaKTP

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KäPa is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.54 pts / match - KäPa · 1.36 pts / match - KTP

KäPa - half-time state
38% leading38% draw23% trailing
KTP - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.54Points per match (1st half)1.36
KäPaKTP
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.64
KäPaKTP
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
KäPaKTP
1.31Average goals (1st half)1.21
KäPaKTP
62%Clean sheet before half-time57%
KäPaKTP
46%No goal before half-time50%
KäPaKTP

After half-time (2nd half)

0.62Points per match (2nd half)2
KäPaKTP
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
KäPaKTP
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
KäPaKTP
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.57
KäPaKTP
31%Clean sheet after half-time71%
KäPaKTP
62%No goal after half-time29%
KäPaKTP

KäPa - second-half results

8% W38% R54% P
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

KTP - second-half results

57% W29% R14% P
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding245%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KäPa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
KTP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match1.01.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KäPa
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

KTP
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
4
3
46-60
8
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KäPa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

KTP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).

Teams vs league

KäPaLigaKTP
Average goals in match 2.692.47 2.79
Both teams scored 62%44% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%44% 43%
Clean sheets 15%31% 50%
Goal before half-time 77%61% 64%
Goal after half-time 77%73% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: KäPa 0 - 0 - 1 KTP. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of KäPa vs KTP?

The Ykkösliiga match finished KäPa 1:2 KTP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before KäPa vs KTP?

KäPa score 1.15 goals per game on average and KTP 1.79. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 62% of KäPa's matches and 43% of KTP's.

What form are KäPa and KTP in?

Over the last 5 games KäPa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and KTP 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KäPa vs KTP?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.