Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick: match statistics
Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mosta play Zabbar St. Patrick in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 15 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mosta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Zabbar St. Patrick: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mosta scores 1.03 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Zabbar St. Patrick scores 1.32 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mosta 48%, Zabbar St. Patrick 59%. Over 2.5: Mosta 48%, Zabbar St. Patrick 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Zabbar St. Patrick has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.08. Mosta: 7.0 shots per match, Zabbar St. Patrick: 7.5.
Match halves
Mosta: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55. Zabbar St. Patrick: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Mosta: 31-45+ (7 goals). Zabbar St. Patrick: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Zabbar St. Patrick) due to their superior defensive metrics. Zabbar concedes on average 1.13 goals away, while Mosta concedes 1.71 at home and suffers 50% losses at their stadium, which significantly reduces the hosts’ chances. In their last five matches Mosta scored 9 goals but conceded 12 and averaged 0.8 points per game, whereas Zabbar scored 8 and conceded 8, averaging 1.0 point, indicating greater balance from the visitors. Offensively the teams are similar: Mosta score 1.21 goals at home with xG 1.09 and a conversion rate of 17%, while Zabbar average 1.13 goals away with xG 1.16 and a 14% conversion, so chance quality is comparable, but the visitors’ defensive edge should decide the match. Proposed probability distribution: away 50%, draw 30%, home 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mosta | Zabbar St. Patrick | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Mosta · 1.6 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Mosta · 1.32 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick
Zabbar St. Patrick is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Mosta · 1.38 goals / match - Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Zabbar St. Patrick keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Zabbar St. Patrick scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mosta
Over / Under — Zabbar St. Patrick
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zabbar St. Patrick is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Mosta · 1.24 pts / match - Zabbar St. Patrick
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mosta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zabbar St. Patrick - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mosta | Liga | Zabbar St. Patrick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Mosta 0 - 2 - 1 Zabbar St. Patrick. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Mosta 2:1 Zabbar St. Patrick. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mosta and Zabbar St. Patrick?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mosta won 0, Zabbar St. Patrick won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Mosta score 1.03 goals per game on average and Zabbar St. Patrick 1.32. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Mosta's matches and 59% of Zabbar St. Patrick's.
What form are Mosta and Zabbar St. Patrick in?
Over the last 5 games Mosta have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
The statistical background for Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.