Nordsjælland vs AGF: match statistics
Nordsjælland vs AGF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nordsjælland play AGF in Superliga (Denmark). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nordsjælland: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. AGF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nordsjælland scores 1.59 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. AGF scores 1.94 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nordsjælland 53%, AGF 72%. Over 2.5: Nordsjælland 59%, AGF 53%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
AGF has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.63. Nordsjælland: 13.5 shots per match, AGF: 15.7.
Match halves
Nordsjælland: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.88. AGF: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (11 goals). AGF: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back a Nordsjælland win. The hosts are in markedly better form: 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 8 goals scored, while AGF have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with 5 goals in their last five. Home metrics favor Nordsjælland — they average 60% possession, 6.36 shots on target and xG 1.81 per home game, whereas AGF as visitors record 48% possession, 4.93 shots on target and xG 1.54. Defensively the hosts concede 1.14 goals per home match and keep clean sheets in 43% of home fixtures, while AGF concede 1.21 on the road and have only a 7% clean sheet rate away. Although AGF lead the table with 51 goals versus Nordsjælland’s 45, have a higher shot conversion (15% vs 14%) and 0% share of away matches without scoring, their last 5 matches yield only 1.2 points per game, which reduces their prospects. Considering superior possession, more shots on target and a clearly better home clean sheet record, I assess the hosts have the highest probability of victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nordsjælland | AGF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGF is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nordsjælland · 2.2 pts / match - AGF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGF is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Nordsjælland · 1.94 goals / match - AGF
AGF is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Nordsjælland · 1 goals / match - AGF
Nordsjælland scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
AGF scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nordsjælland
Over / Under — AGF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGF is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Nordsjælland · 2.16 pts / match - AGF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AGF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 59%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nordsjælland
AGF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Nordsjælland | Liga | AGF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.03 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Nordsjælland 0 - 1 - 2 AGF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nordsjælland vs AGF?
The Superliga match finished Nordsjælland 1:1 AGF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nordsjælland and AGF?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nordsjælland won 0, AGF won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nordsjælland vs AGF?
Nordsjælland score 1.59 goals per game on average and AGF 1.94. The Superliga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Nordsjælland's matches and 72% of AGF's.
What form are Nordsjælland and AGF in?
Over the last 5 games Nordsjælland have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and AGF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nordsjælland vs AGF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.