Paris vs Brest: match statistics
Paris vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paris play Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Paris: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Brest: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paris scores 1.38 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Brest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paris 62%, Brest 47%. Over 2.5: Paris 56%, Brest 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Paris has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.23. Paris: 11.7 shots per match, Brest: 11.2.
Match halves
Paris: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. Brest: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Paris: 76-90+ (14 goals). Brest: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Paris holds a clear advantage in form and efficiency: in the last five matches the hosts scored 11 goals, won 3 games and average 2.0 points per match, while Brest has not won in their last 5, scored 7 goals and averages only 0.4 points per match with 13 goals conceded. Over the season at home Paris averages 1.47 goals and has xG 1.42 with 4 shots on target and 13 total shots, whereas Brest away scores 1.00 goal with an average xG 1.03, 2.67 shots on target and 8.87 total shots, indicating a higher quantity and quality of chances for the hosts. Defensively the visitors perform worse — Brest concedes 1.8 goals on average away and has a higher xG against (1.69) than Paris at home (1.31 xG against), and the away goal difference for the visitors is -12 versus -4 for the hosts at home. Additionally Brest have a 53% loss rate away and only 13% clean sheets, while Paris lose 40% of home matches and have 20% clean sheets; both teams failed to score in 33% of their home/away matches. On this basis I predict a Paris win and estimate probabilities of 62% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 18% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paris | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paris is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Paris · 0.4 pts / match - Brest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paris is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Paris · 1.26 goals / match - Brest
Paris is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Paris · 1.62 goals / match - Brest
Paris scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Brest scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paris
Over / Under — Brest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paris
Brest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Paris | Liga | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.83 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paris 1 - 0 - 0 Brest. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paris vs Brest?
The Ligue 1 match finished Paris 4:0 Brest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paris vs Brest?
Paris score 1.38 goals per game on average and Brest 1.26. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Paris's matches and 47% of Brest's.
What form are Paris and Brest in?
Over the last 5 games Paris have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Brest 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paris vs Brest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paris vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.