Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueData current as of 17 July 2026

Ulytau vs Tobol: match statistics

Ulytau crest
Ulytau
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Tobol crest
Tobol

Ulytau vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ulytau play Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Ulytau: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tobol: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ulytau scores 0.82 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.12 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ulytau 41%, Tobol 59%. Over 2.5: Ulytau 29%, Tobol 53%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Tobol has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.31. Ulytau: 11.2 shots per match, Tobol: 13.3.

Match halves

Ulytau: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41. Tobol: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Ulytau: 76-90+ (4 goals). Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Match description

Ulytau has a clear home advantage: unbeaten at home (0% losses), with 50% wins and 50% draws, scoring 1.0 goals and conceding only 0.5 per match. Tobol performs poorly away — no wins and all away matches lost, averaging 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, with no clean sheets and 67% of matches without scoring. In shot-quality metrics Ulytau also dominates: 3.5 shots on target at home versus 1.67 for Tobol away, shot conversion 10% vs 4% and xG 1.26 compared to 0.99 for the visitors. Additionally Ulytau averages 2 points per game in the last 5 matches (form: wldww), while Tobol averages 1 point per game in their last five (form: dllwd), all of which favors a home win.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
UlytauTobol
17Shots10
UlytauTobol
5Shots on target4
UlytauTobol
1.77xG1.26
UlytauTobol
4Corners4
UlytauTobol
49Dangerous attacks49
UlytauTobol
9Fouls19
UlytauTobol
2Cards3
UlytauTobol

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.82Goals scored / match1.12
UlytauTobol
0.88Goals conceded / match1.47
UlytauTobol
51%Average possession54%
UlytauTobol
3.59Shots on target / match4.06
UlytauTobol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.24Shots per match13.35
UlytauTobol
3.59Shots on target4.06
UlytauTobol
7.3%Shot conversion8.4%
UlytauTobol
51%Possession54%
UlytauTobol
1.31xG for1.55
UlytauTobol
1.43xG against1.52
UlytauTobol

Shooting quality

Ulytau: BalancedTobol: Balanced
UlytauTobol
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tobol is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Ulytau · 1.8 pts / match - Tobol

Ulytau
WDLLW
Season result split
41% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Tobol
WLWLW
Season result split
29% W18% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tobol is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.12 goals / match - Tobol

Ulytau is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.47 goals / match - Tobol

Ulytau scoring profile: very strong

Ulytau scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

Tobol scoring profile: strong

Tobol scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Ulytau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

14Goals scored (season)19
UlytauTobol
15Goals conceded (season)25
UlytauTobol
1.71Average goals in match2.59
UlytauTobol
3Goals scored (last 5)9
UlytauTobol
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
UlytauTobol

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal71%
UlytauTobol
18%2 goals29%
UlytauTobol
0%3 goals12%
UlytauTobol
0%4 goals0%
UlytauTobol

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal88%
UlytauTobol
18%2 goals41%
UlytauTobol
6%3 goals12%
UlytauTobol
0%4 goals6%
UlytauTobol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time29%
UlytauTobol
0%BTTS in both halves0%
UlytauTobol
12%Scored in both halves12%
UlytauTobol

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
UlytauTobol
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
UlytauTobol
20%BTTS - last 560%
UlytauTobol

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
UlytauTobol
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
UlytauTobol
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
UlytauTobol

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
UlytauTobol
18%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
UlytauTobol
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
UlytauTobol

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ulytau - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
Tobol - half-time state
24% leading59% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.29
UlytauTobol
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.53
UlytauTobol
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
UlytauTobol
0.82Average goals (1st half)1
UlytauTobol
59%Clean sheet before half-time59%
UlytauTobol
59%No goal before half-time53%
UlytauTobol

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)0.94
UlytauTobol
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
UlytauTobol
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)1
UlytauTobol
0.88Average goals (2nd half)1.59
UlytauTobol
59%Clean sheet after half-time35%
UlytauTobol
65%No goal after half-time65%
UlytauTobol

Ulytau - second-half results

29% W41% R29% P
21
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tobol - second-half results

24% W24% R53% P
22
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ulytau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.40.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tobol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ulytau
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Tobol
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ulytau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tobol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

UlytauLigaTobol
Average goals in match 1.712.26 2.59
Both teams scored 41%50% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%42% 53%
Clean sheets 35%31% 12%
Goal before half-time 65%61% 59%
Goal after half-time 65%69% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
0.93
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ulytau 0 - 1 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan
2 : 2
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
2 : 0
FK Ulytau Zhezkazgan

FAQ

What was the result of Ulytau vs Tobol?

The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ulytau 2:1 Tobol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ulytau and Tobol?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ulytau won 0, Tobol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ulytau vs Tobol?

Ulytau score 0.82 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.12. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Ulytau's matches and 59% of Tobol's.

What form are Ulytau and Tobol in?

Over the last 5 games Ulytau have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tobol 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulytau vs Tobol?

The statistical background for Ulytau vs Tobol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.