Ulytau vs Tobol: match statistics
Ulytau vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulytau play Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ulytau: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tobol: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulytau scores 0.82 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.12 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulytau 41%, Tobol 59%. Over 2.5: Ulytau 29%, Tobol 53%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Tobol has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.31. Ulytau: 11.2 shots per match, Tobol: 13.3.
Match halves
Ulytau: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41. Tobol: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Ulytau: 76-90+ (4 goals). Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Ulytau has a clear home advantage: unbeaten at home (0% losses), with 50% wins and 50% draws, scoring 1.0 goals and conceding only 0.5 per match. Tobol performs poorly away — no wins and all away matches lost, averaging 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, with no clean sheets and 67% of matches without scoring. In shot-quality metrics Ulytau also dominates: 3.5 shots on target at home versus 1.67 for Tobol away, shot conversion 10% vs 4% and xG 1.26 compared to 0.99 for the visitors. Additionally Ulytau averages 2 points per game in the last 5 matches (form: wldww), while Tobol averages 1 point per game in their last five (form: dllwd), all of which favors a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulytau | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tobol is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ulytau · 1.8 pts / match - Tobol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.12 goals / match - Tobol
Ulytau is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.47 goals / match - Tobol
Ulytau scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
Tobol scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Ulytau keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulytau
Over / Under — Tobol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulytau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulytau
Tobol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulytau | Liga | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ulytau 0 - 1 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulytau vs Tobol?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ulytau 2:1 Tobol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ulytau and Tobol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ulytau won 0, Tobol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulytau vs Tobol?
Ulytau score 0.82 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.12. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Ulytau's matches and 59% of Tobol's.
What form are Ulytau and Tobol in?
Over the last 5 games Ulytau have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tobol 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulytau vs Tobol?
The statistical background for Ulytau vs Tobol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


