Varaždin vs Hajduk Split: match statistics
Hajduk Split presents a clear advantage in this clash, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The guests are distinguished by their possession dominance (58% average away) and a solid defense, conceding on average only 1 goal per away match with 45% clean sheets. Varaždin, despite decent home form (45% wins), has a negative goal difference at home (-1) and concedes an average of 1.55 goals per match. xG statistics also favor Hajduk (1.66 xG away vs 1.54 xG for Varaždin at home), confirming the guests' qualitative edge. Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.8 PPG), however, Hajduk wins 55% of their away games, making them the favorite for this meeting. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, with the advantage going to the experienced Hajduk Split.
Varaždin vs Hajduk Split: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin play Hajduk Split in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 17:45. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hajduk Split: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.31 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Hajduk Split scores 1.69 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 61%, Hajduk Split 44%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 47%, Hajduk Split 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.37. Varaždin: 11.5 shots per match, Hajduk Split: 14.4.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. Hajduk Split: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 0-15 (10 goals). Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Hajduk Split presents a clear advantage in this clash, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season. The guests are distinguished by their possession dominance (58% average away) and a solid defense, conceding on average only 1 goal per away match with 45% clean sheets. Varaždin, despite decent home form (45% wins), has a negative goal difference at home (-1) and concedes an average of 1.55 goals per match. xG statistics also favor Hajduk (1.66 xG away vs 1.54 xG for Varaždin at home), confirming the guests' qualitative edge. Both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.8 PPG), however, Hajduk wins 55% of their away games, making them the favorite for this meeting. I expect a difficult match for the hosts, with the advantage going to the experienced Hajduk Split.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hajduk Split is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.6 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Varaždin · 1.69 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Varaždin · 1 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Varaždin scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Hajduk Split scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Varaždin
Over / Under — Hajduk Split
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hajduk Split is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.61 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Hajduk Split
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.66 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Varaždin 1 - 1 - 1 Hajduk Split. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Hajduk Split?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 1:1 Hajduk Split. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Hajduk Split?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 1, Hajduk Split won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Hajduk Split?
Varaždin score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hajduk Split 1.69. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Varaždin's matches and 44% of Hajduk Split's.
What form are Varaždin and Hajduk Split in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hajduk Split 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Hajduk Split?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.