Zrinjski vs Velež: match statistics
Zrinjski vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Zrinjski play Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 25 May 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Stadion Bijeli Brijeg. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Zrinjski: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Velež: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Zrinjski scores 1.33 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Velež scores 1.00 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Zrinjski 36%, Velež 36%. Over 2.5: Zrinjski 36%, Velež 36%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Zrinjski has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.29. Zrinjski: 11.5 shots per match, Velež: 10.0.
Match halves
Zrinjski: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75. Velež: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Zrinjski: 46-60 (14 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Zrinjski holds a clear statistical advantage at home: they average 13.47 shots and 4.29 on target per match with an average xG of 1.64, while Velež away records 7.76 shots, 3.18 on target and xG 1.12. The hosts’ defense is a differentiator — Zrinjski concedes just 0.53 goals per home match on average and has a 53% clean sheet rate, whereas Velež concedes 1.18 goals away and has only a 12% clean sheet rate. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 5 goals and collected 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 1.8 points per match), while the visitors scored 8 goals but only collected 5 points (1-2-2) and conceded 8 goals. Season-to-date Zrinjski have 45 scored and 25 conceded with 20 wins, versus Velež’s 36-32 and 14 wins; the home goal difference of +11 compared to the visitors’ -3 further favors the hosts. Based on this I predict a Zrinjski win and estimate probabilities: 66% home, 20% draw and 14% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Zrinjski | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zrinjski is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Zrinjski · 1.4 pts / match - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zrinjski is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Zrinjski · 1 goals / match - Velež
Zrinjski is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - Zrinjski · 0.97 goals / match - Velež
Zrinjski scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
Velež scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while Zrinjski keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Zrinjski
Over / Under — Velež
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zrinjski is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Zrinjski · 1.14 pts / match - Velež
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Zrinjski - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Zrinjski
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Zrinjski | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.16 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 36% | • 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Zrinjski 2 - 1 - 0 Velež. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Zrinjski vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Zrinjski 3:0 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Zrinjski and Velež?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Zrinjski won 2, Velež won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Zrinjski vs Velež?
Zrinjski score 1.33 goals per game on average and Velež 1.00. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Zrinjski's matches and 36% of Velež's.
What form are Zrinjski and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Zrinjski have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Velež 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Zrinjski vs Velež?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.